Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 23, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Where Ya At Vince 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Motor City 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Larry’s Legend 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Sailor Chow 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Way Out Front 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Ghent 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Lucky Promise 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Charli Michael 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Northernreflection 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Hardly Able 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Into Wishing 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Unfathomed 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Creole Charlie 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Zong Tough 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Samurai’s Grandson 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Guitar Solo 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Final Quest 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sassi Strutter 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Blessed Assurance 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Flashy Meg 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Serape 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Veracruzin 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Minor Discrepancy 2.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Gracious Kat 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Voyant 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Rite On Sam 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Midnight Hunter 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Quick Zong 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Meet Kevin 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Distorted Math 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Grand Sam 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Midnight Avenger 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Alines Valentine 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Toms Lucky Mo 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Muncle 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Courageous Cupid 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Rip Rules 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Two Weeks Notice 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bayou Jam 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Heza Pickle 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Touchdown Joe 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Bleep Bleep 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Infinitesimal 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Joey’s Game 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Seehoss 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 All Together 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Indian Cat 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bote 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Lovely Secret 4.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Retired Blessing 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Feather Laine 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Little Randy 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Palmetto Star 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Piccolo Uomo 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mighty Message 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sutherland 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lauri’s Wish 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Iron in the Fire 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Race Driver 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Sir Sterling 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Paintbrush 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Mr. B Cause 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 Blushing Belle 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Implicator 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Fast Verdict 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Chaosmos 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Applewood 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Rock On Cowboy 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Taken Back 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Nasty Exaggerator 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Traelee 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Dealin’ Stelen 12.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Kentucky Peerless 15.00 11 21-1
8 8 Jimmie’s Halo 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.