Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Where Ya At Vince |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Motor City |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Larry’s Legend |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sailor Chow |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Way Out Front |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ghent |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lucky Promise |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Charli Michael |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Northernreflection |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hardly Able |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Into Wishing |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unfathomed |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Creole Charlie |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zong Tough |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Samurai’s Grandson |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Guitar Solo |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Final Quest |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sassi Strutter |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blessed Assurance |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flashy Meg |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Serape |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Veracruzin |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Minor Discrepancy |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gracious Kat |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Voyant |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rite On Sam |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Hunter |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quick Zong |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Meet Kevin |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Distorted Math |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grand Sam |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Avenger |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alines Valentine |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Toms Lucky Mo |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Muncle |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Courageous Cupid |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rip Rules |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Two Weeks Notice |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bayou Jam |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heza Pickle |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Touchdown Joe |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bleep Bleep |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Infinitesimal |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joey’s Game |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Seehoss |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
All Together |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Indian Cat |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bote |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovely Secret |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Retired Blessing |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Feather Laine |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Randy |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Palmetto Star |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Piccolo Uomo |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mighty Message |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sutherland |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lauri’s Wish |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Iron in the Fire |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Race Driver |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Sterling |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Paintbrush |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. B Cause |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blushing Belle |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Implicator |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fast Verdict |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chaosmos |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Applewood |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rock On Cowboy |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Taken Back |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nasty Exaggerator |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Traelee |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dealin’ Stelen |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kentucky Peerless |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jimmie’s Halo |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.