Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Where Ya At Vince | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Motor City | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Way Out Front | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Larry’s Legend | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor Chow | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghent | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Promise | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hardly Able | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northernreflection | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charli Michael | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Wishing | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unfathomed | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creole Charlie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zong Tough | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Samurai’s Grandson | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sassi Strutter | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Quest | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Meg | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Assurance | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Serape | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar Solo | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gracious Kat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minor Discrepancy | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Veracruzin | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Voyant | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Zong | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Hunter | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rite On Sam | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meet Kevin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Avenger | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Sam | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Distorted Math | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muncle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rip Rules | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alines Valentine | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toms Lucky Mo | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Courageous Cupid | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Weeks Notice | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heza Pickle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Jam | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bleep Bleep | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seehoss | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Infinitesimal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Touchdown Joe | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joey’s Game | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Together | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Indian Cat | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bote | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Randy | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Feather Laine | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Retired Blessing | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palmetto Star | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piccolo Uomo | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Secret | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lauri’s Wish | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron in the Fire | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Message | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race Driver | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sutherland | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Sterling | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. B Cause | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paintbrush | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blushing Belle | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nasty Exaggerator | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chaosmos | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Implicator | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock On Cowboy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Applewood | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taken Back | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Peerless | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dealin’ Stelen | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Traelee | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jimmie’s Halo | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Verdict | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.