Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 23, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cyprus Moon 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Blissterinthesun 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Current Affair 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Miss Mandalay (GB) 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Tahiti Iti 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Sweet Voyage 5.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Sparrow 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Noble Minded 30.00 1 2-1
5 5 Post Game 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Romanesque 2.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Stargell 3.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Rodriguez 2.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 The Last Straw 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Crazy Cavalier 0 0-1
8 8 San Anton (IRE) 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Crazy Cavalier 1.60 1.2 2-1
9 9 Eligio 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Certitude (FR) 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Osage Creek 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Chipper Me Timbers 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Stick Shift 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Ocala Kid 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Come On Buddy 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wendelssohn 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mici’s Express 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Bolt At Midnight 20.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Speed Grazy 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 J B Strikes Back 1.40 4.2 8-1
5 5 Coalinga Road 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lonesome Stew 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rexford 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Without Borders 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Gregory’s Pride 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Kid Azteca 4.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Rhythem On Stage 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Lite Ranchin Kid 20.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Bee Catcher 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Disobey 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Yacowlef (IRE) 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mayacama 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Tiz Lissett 12.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Pondicherry 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Miss Miche Lada 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Uptown Preacher 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Diva Cat 5.00 6 11-1
4 4 Copperhead Fever 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Capital Outlay 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Double Jab 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Supernal 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Rachel’s Coach 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Geezer 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Devil Be Me 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Refocus 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Chromeflash 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Prince Prancealot 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Uncle John 8.00 6.4 12-1
13 12 Square Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Forgiving Spirit 8.00 SCRATCH
12 11 McGregor Lake 12.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Piper’s Causeway 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Native Diver S.) – Native Diver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mixto 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ultra Power 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Skinner 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Tarantino 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Mirahmadi 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Salesman (IRE) 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
English Icon 0 0-1
My Hero 0 0-1
4 4 Malibu Rocks 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Divisible By 8.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 English Icon 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Dairago (FR) 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mysterious Husband 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Spearfish 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Over the Ocean 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Nassau Circle 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 My Hero 15.00 6.1 12-1
12 11 Call Sign Seven 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Midnight Strike 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 98 Just Before Dawn 0.00 SCRATCH
14 12 Travail 20.00 SCRATCH
13 98 Final Edition (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.