Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magnetic Beach | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Centimorgan | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ranch Life | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mezcalifornia | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Royalty | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alltail | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Master | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Dixie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blaze On | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Annmarie | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Night | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Town Sis | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Glenda | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Royal | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chica Chula | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Say Cheese | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gatlinburg | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | What’s Up Doc | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sagittarius | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Friend Louie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Rhodes | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ode to Balius | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quebrancho | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Enough | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Melody | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gotta Have Dreams | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Now and Later | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Levee Was Dry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redeposit | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stinger Bee | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holster | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zapping Strike | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skyler | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summonyourcourage | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Added Mischief | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vdaytothetenacious | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | To My Taste | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Call | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Brazilian Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Shot | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feeling Beachy | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Redo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ripassare | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fifth of May | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Argentinidad | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Coed | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zappera | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yammy Yammy Bella | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Freak City | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Shezalittlestinker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miss Susan B | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bundchen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One Front War | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wico (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Underhill’s Tab | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harrodsburg | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banjo Chris | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Banishing | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Groveland | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mahaamel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Escape | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Shot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Quality | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Troubleshooting | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Vista | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Restless Renegade | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Quality | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tartarian | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knicks Glory | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh Please | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yinzer | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Vekoma Kid | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aerate | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tomasello | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Solid Left | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Putting Eagle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wise Decision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Chilukki S.) – Chilukki S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positano Sunset | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Oeuvre | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taxed | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pigalle | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positano Sunset | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Sharp | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Spa | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imonra | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Banned for Life | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risk It | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trust Issues | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ajaayb | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colorado Cruiser | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wind Rider | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | President Z | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Attache | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rowdy Riot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Agoo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Justifreak | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Commonwealth Turf S.) – Commonwealth Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Herchee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Evade (FR) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Prince | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lagynos | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dashman | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Piper’s Factor | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Will Take It | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ak Sar Ben Derby | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Telescopic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Gamble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Math | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seraphia | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bottomless Mimosa | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madeline’s Promise | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lobby Rendezvous | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ceebee | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heart’s Compass | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calamity | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.