Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 J Z’s First 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Miss Distinctive 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Roll Gypsy Roll 4.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Lily’s Creed 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 No Cost 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Seriously Sassy 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Averi Ever After 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Quilting Party 15.00 10 19-1
6 6 Macee 15.00 10 19-1
2 2 No Nannette No 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Paddy’s House 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 River Raft 5.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Glenn’s Jumper 6.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Deep State 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mischief’s Machine 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Julia’s Warrior 8.00 3 6-1
11 11 Jacked 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Mark the Moose 10.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 Bling’s Bellwether 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 B W P Spirit 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Schnell 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Grand Design 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Tappin Fora Dance 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brit’s Wit 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sailing Solo 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Richiesgotgame 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Wicked Trick 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Z Z’s Prince 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Deccan Prince (IRE) 10.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Niles Channel 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 He Gots to Go 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Glendale 15.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 El Perfecto 15.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Lil Bro Coop 20.00 13 25-1
13 13 Spectrier 20.00 13 25-1
4 4 Sendero 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Thundering Desire 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Canal Street 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Fast Flame 5.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Twang 5.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Moonie Pie 6.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Mikkisonthinice 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Deal With It 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Thats Unbelievable 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Vanna G 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Wickedrevolution 20.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Global Value 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Show’ Em Nola 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Joseph R. Peluso Memorial S.) – Joseph R. Peluso Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Voila Magic 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Hay Jude 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Tdz Hint of Power 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Louisiana Jess 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 A Million Moons 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Hawija 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Deal Em Justice 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Foligno 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Natural Rights 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Star’s Image 4.50 2 4-1
12 12 Face the Future 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 El Maximo 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Thermoscat 10.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Time to Collect 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Dan d’Oro 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Otter Creek 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Tested 20.00 12 23-1
2 2 Good to Be Prince 20.00 12 23-1
9 9 Frosty Blue 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Delmar R. Caldwell Memorial S.) – Delmar R. Caldwell Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Manama Gold 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Six String 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Freeburn 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Spirited Beauty 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Noneya 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Don’tcallmepatsy 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Sweet Alexis 12.00 9 17-1
1 1 Free Drop Maddy 12.00 9 17-1
4 4 Lil Chilly 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Boltage 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tough Little Nut 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 American Hope 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mi Solution 6.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Write Off Jerry 6.00 3.7 7-1
15 15 Devilsgotacause 6.00 3.7 7-1
16 16 News At Nine 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sovereigns Joy 10.00 7.2 14-1
14 14 Bolt From Above 12.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Sand Pipes 15.00 11.6 22-1
3 3 Flying Houdini 20.00 16 30-1
9 9 Wicked Rose 20.00 16 30-1
10 10 Maasai Warrior 20.00 16 30-1
8 8 C’Est Magnifique 20.00 16 30-1
13 13 Malibu Rain 20.00 16 30-1
2 2 Carthage Cajun 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Call Me Susan 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 She’s a Bandit 4.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Powdered Sugar 6.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Blue Fire 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Liam’s Mist 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Masonetta 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Classic Embrace 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Kinsley Grace 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Platinum Midnight 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Lola and Rose 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Gloryland 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 All You 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.