Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miz Mastery | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Hope | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Apriority | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Superhero | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Call Him Doc | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Reunion | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking the Game | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B D Primary Ours | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Overcast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle Up | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Molto Vino | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Dreaming | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bikini Bottom | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unlucky in Love | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talkabout | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Pea | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molli Way | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Nickel | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Tequila | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Talkin Slick | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dewclaw | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patience Will Pay | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Special Star | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jacque Couteau | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Customerunhappy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Cane Gal | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lexi’s Fury | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Jackpot | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Double | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Long Shot Louise | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oak Hill Seniorita | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy’s Cinderella | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Galaxy Affair | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Idea | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Speightful One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Calibrachoamatters | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patio’s Porch | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldenlute | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Turbine | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empty Holster | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Supreme Capo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Hello Mister | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arkansas Zong | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Truvy’s Bandit | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wesleyan | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stephs Coast | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time to Close | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Bullet | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Balitrix | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waaboo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Melody | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Lee’s Princess | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gritty Tornado | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surprise Sunrise | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Chopper | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strong Promise | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Bert | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Half Full | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stovall | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marks Promise | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Sword | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sign of War | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hyperbolist | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muffin Nuts | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin With Angels | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Action | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bubba’s Reckless | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Motawaafeq | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Uncle Leon | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stomping Hotrod | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Big Boy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jazzy Justin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jenny’s Day | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Special Strike | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R T’s Star | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Up Bertie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Cheese Bread | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moment to Preach | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Target | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half an Apple | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ranologist | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Reckless Run | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.