Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gardiner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vamos Carlitos | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Righteous Star | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lou Man | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Trouble | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Streets of War | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheppinator | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caped Crusader | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Hat Willie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Standard | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eli’s Promise | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Major Blue | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodasiwonswas | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robo Man | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miacomet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Evan On Earth | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Gun Rocket | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burlsworth | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Map to the Stars | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shallus | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Partyvicious | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viking | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Chaos | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | All the Luck | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mintastic | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sharp Swinger | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J David | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Concrete Cruiser | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Canisius | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Dreaming | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steel Vengeance | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Only the Good | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Candyland Phil | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Allied Commander | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Frosty Beer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silent Breeze | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fantastical | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kick a Rhyme (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girl of My Dreams | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La La Rose | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Foret | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Miracle | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Queen | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Fashion Kate | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Krickle | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Checkride | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Obstreperous | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Undercover | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Harbor Springs | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pinfire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guile | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lead Foot | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Gunner | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prints Money | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Merlotti | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kosher Capone | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artwell | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kohaku | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scorpius | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinetic Control | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morlock | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Publisher | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spurgeon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Executive | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harvest n’Hearth | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speechless | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Payne | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G T Five Hundred | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Got No Munny | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Giant Leap | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Friar Laurence | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzlemesilver | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pressure | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chipofftheoldblock | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shiloh’s Mistress | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Thief | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Egyptian Candy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heart Spin | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Gambler | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Stack | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Janey Creed | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Trouble | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Berna Ditty | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classy’n Connected | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Harvey’s Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wits and Wagers | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Spicy Italian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Irish Patsy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Parish Lane | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Foreseen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Phreddie Mac | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halfway Tempted | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saturday Long Legs | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speed Institute | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Hope | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sound of Victory | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Photo Op | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Warp Nine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trap Line | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.