Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gardiner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Righteous Star | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vamos Carlitos | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Trouble | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lou Man | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Streets of War | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caped Crusader | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheppinator | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Hat Willie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Standard | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miacomet | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Blue | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eli’s Promise | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robo Man | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodasiwonswas | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Top Gun Rocket | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Evan On Earth | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Chaos | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burlsworth | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viking | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Map to the Stars | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Partyvicious | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shallus | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | J David | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All the Luck | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concrete Cruiser | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sharp Swinger | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Dreaming | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Canisius | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Candyland Phil | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mintastic | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Allied Commander | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steel Vengeance | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Only the Good | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Frosty Beer | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Breeze | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fantastical | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Obstreperous | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Undercover | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Foret | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Harbor Springs | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kick a Rhyme (IRE) | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girl of My Dreams | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La La Rose | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Miracle | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Fashion Kate | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Queen | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Checkride | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dot | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Krickle | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Guile | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kosher Capone | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pinfire | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artwell | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Gunner | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prints Money | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merlotti | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kohaku | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lead Foot | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scorpius | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinetic Control | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morlock | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Publisher | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Executive | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spurgeon | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speechless | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harvest n’Hearth | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Friar Laurence | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Giant Leap | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Payne | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G T Five Hundred | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Got No Munny | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pressure | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzlemesilver | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chipofftheoldblock | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hay Stack | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shiloh’s Mistress | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Foreseen | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Wits and Wagers | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Thief | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heart Spin | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Trouble | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Irish Patsy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Parish Lane | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Janey Creed | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Gambler | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Classy’n Connected | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Egyptian Candy | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Harvey’s Princess | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Spicy Italian | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berna Ditty | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warp Nine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Phreddie Mac | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sound of Victory | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halfway Tempted | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Hope | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trap Line | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saturday Long Legs | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Photo Op | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speed Institute | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.