Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sam’s Promise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game and Gormley | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lexington River | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Cause | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prix de West | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klimtomaniac | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Warrior | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Trip | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Toga | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tucker the Grump | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | R T’s d’Oro | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rocky Boy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Winston Wolf | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cliff Diver | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Declaration | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | French Composer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catholic Guilt | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Four Sevens | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baileys Bro | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mallory Unbridled | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dat’s a Goode One | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Littlebitofaqueen | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mallory’s Ocean | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saucy Gem | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Double Gem | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take It to Court | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Thirteen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chuchi | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Candy Kisses | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spooky Guitar | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vincent’s Gem | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Courtly Doc | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Calaja | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Anna | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Amen | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Takin Over | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trip | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsyroselee | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ann’s Storm | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Be Gone | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Be a Bandit | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Huntleigh | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cincy’s Anna | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fabs | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luminous Flight | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alliaceous | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pickin Ana Grinnin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Thirsty | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Xcaret | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faded Memories | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eli’s Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cato’s Lady | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch This Munny | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valtesse | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zing | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Perfection | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fasted | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wa Wa Wee Wa | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nora’s Legacy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kellys the Boss | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spinning Aces | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Argument | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassi D | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Halo | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Titanium Deal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gus’s Dream World | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Redemption | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Age of Reason | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moonlight Glow | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ahamo | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vianney’s Love | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whata Moon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shake Em Bella | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gab’s Humor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Rosie T | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laryscountrygirl | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gottotry Mischief | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Duck’s Money | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | School Teacher | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.