Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Life | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harvard | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cashmeup | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vittorio | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer in Aiken | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chryso Alogo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkscheap | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trafalgar Shore | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cactus Flower | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcatjustice | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jump Into the Fire | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yolo Calls | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slam Diego | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inner Harbor | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Gundin | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Man of Mischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Storm the Streets | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haunted Flame | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Creek | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Words of Fortune | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Remaining Nameless | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Ice | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morally | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stunning Bruno | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Lee | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Kid | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mister Baby | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Financial Whiz | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Standoutsensation | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Hebrides | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catching Heat | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Chill | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cararra | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up the Creek | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bah Humbug | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sombra Dorada | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharper Gal | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teardrop Tiara | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elliott Moon | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Escapade | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honeycomb | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Blood | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarissa | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Prance | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gilded Craken | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Prince’s Spur | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | General Mathis | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kissalot | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Count Dracula | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Huge Bigly | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winters Lion | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Best | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Channel | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fearless Lady | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Division | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Smokeshow | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ez Tree Ates | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parking Lot Pours | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Multiplication | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dimensionality | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outrage | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anonima | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Serengeti | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scrupulous | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Dancer | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Haze | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rubia | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | These Apples | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gourmet | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beach Bunny | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zapple | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hattie Bloom | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Navy Seal (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Boy Tony | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Sandrin | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Telescopic | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thomas Aquinas | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fort Thomas | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Always Above | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lips Say Bliss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Boss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer in Adriane | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Singer (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quokka | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | D Day Reunion | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laughnowcrylater | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Upon a Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord I Wonder | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gate to Paradise | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Here’syourtrouble | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catchphrase | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cathcart | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Go Go | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kiss Me Again | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legacy Defined | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lunar Seas | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.