Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mid West Fun |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nice Like Michelle |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Field of Lights |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leprechaun Charm |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Altar Girl |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aurora Australis |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Bead Lady |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coushatta Cutie |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dylan’s Dream |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Galaxy Affair |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Craftroom |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Charluche |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Astrology Girl |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Calera Love |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Girl Likes Bling |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Real Deal Ryan |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stand by Time |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Long Legged Lady |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s Extra |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ragazza |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charged Up Rose |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saint Isabel |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bitsy’s Star |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Dad’s Guitar |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Iron Fortune |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dixie’s Astro |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cole’s Sensation |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Way too Tough |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baby Zong |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Country Deals |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Analitico |
8.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Magic Bind |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Astrology Wonowon |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Kah Nigh |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Relic Hunter |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Skippa |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Over Paid |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reginald Aurelius |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Loudthundrhevyrain |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
A’debris |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Harpes Hill |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gildersleeve |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sunset War |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Two Worlds |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rifey |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Two Worlds |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speaktomeoflove |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Violent Gigi |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Johnnysjourney |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Rojo |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Birthday Party |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Il Capitano |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
State of the Union |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gottatakehimto |
15.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Andiamo Giacomo |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Fast Verdict |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kevin’s Strike |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perry County |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spamalot |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mischievous Smile |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Practically Given |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silent Rage |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kentucky Cajun |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
That’s My Mama |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Emily’s Bullet |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Lucky Break |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rusty’s Sunrise |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
One Line Ruler |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Starscape |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proven Advocate |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Perfect Edge |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
One Sharp Tiz |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blessed Vision |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Heza Royal Cat |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Surprise Road Trip |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alligator Crawl |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.