Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mid West Fun 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nice Like Michelle 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Field of Lights 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Leprechaun Charm 12.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Altar Girl 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Aurora Australis 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lucky Bead Lady 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Coushatta Cutie 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Dylan’s Dream 8.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Galaxy Affair 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Craftroom 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Charluche 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Astrology Girl 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Calera Love 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Girl Likes Bling 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Real Deal Ryan 12.00 4 7-1
9 9 Stand by Time 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Long Legged Lady 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 She’s Extra 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Ragazza 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Charged Up Rose 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Saint Isabel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bitsy’s Star 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 My Dad’s Guitar 4.50 1.3 2-1
9 9 Iron Fortune 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Dixie’s Astro 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Cole’s Sensation 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Way too Tough 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Baby Zong 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Country Deals 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Analitico 8.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Magic Bind 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Astrology Wonowon 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kah Nigh 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Relic Hunter 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Skippa 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Over Paid 2.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Reginald Aurelius 5.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Loudthundrhevyrain 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 A’debris 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Harpes Hill 15.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Gildersleeve 12.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Sunset War 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Two Worlds 0 0-1
8 8 Rifey 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Two Worlds 10.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Speaktomeoflove 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Violent Gigi 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Johnnysjourney 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Big Rojo 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Birthday Party 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Il Capitano 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 State of the Union 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Gottatakehimto 15.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Andiamo Giacomo 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fast Verdict 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kevin’s Strike 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Perry County 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Spamalot 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mischievous Smile 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Practically Given 2.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Silent Rage 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kentucky Cajun 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 That’s My Mama 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Emily’s Bullet 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 5 My Lucky Break 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rusty’s Sunrise 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 One Line Ruler 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Starscape 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Proven Advocate 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Perfect Edge 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 One Sharp Tiz 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Blessed Vision 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Heza Royal Cat 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Surprise Road Trip 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Alligator Crawl 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.