Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonita Song | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Citizen Judy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parisian Light | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kate Wins | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Evalina | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tegwar | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Real Mischievous | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adrian | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bonita Song | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Security Pledge | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreama | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fort Warren | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Went West | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Background | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citizen Judy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | W W Crazy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Notah | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baby Max | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Coalmoon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Il Marchesse | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gallo de Fuego | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | South Bend Tom | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lured Away | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Snoop | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Max | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Melittlefrostgirl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dinahs Girl | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Vittoria | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Free Passage | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Toxica | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Next Agenda | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nola Louise | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shancelicious | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Zone | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Muse | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | J J’s Ranger | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lend It Tewmey | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jammin Justice | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rewire | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Untroubled | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Candy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redhill | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monba Quake | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucy Got Game | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windy Walk | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Low Country Magic | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Cami | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crushed Ice | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wee Bit O Mischief | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klimt’s Muse | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wits and Wagers | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Briterdayzahead | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top Gun Tommy | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Splash | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solidify | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Molto Vivace | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tallahatchiebridge | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fadethenoise | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayou Benny | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lunar Module | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shogun Be Fast | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Own the Field | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cawkab | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harleezy | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roussette | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raging | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atlantic Dancer | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Your Man | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Mojo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ember | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Business Model | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocco Strong | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Category Ten | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icarus | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ember | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Centurian | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nepal Up | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Peterkin | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coyote Road | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Koselio | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.