Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moven Van | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | County Judge | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smackdown | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lewis Bere (FR) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ru Mor Starter | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texan Farmer | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Ripped | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Clubman | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Duanes Sonney Boy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smackzilla | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code Jorgie | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R D C Posse | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suppose You Dream | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Isaidwhatisaid | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Right Cider | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Even Terms | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dakota Marvin | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classic Cut | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sinner’s Sin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lea Me Be | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peppermint Candy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Stooper | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thetruthisthetruth | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Morena | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eutychia | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itsonlymoneyhoney | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gee Gee | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Connection | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Niki | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Witsec | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Atomic Tone | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadowless | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clay’s Black Opal | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dose’s Dream | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pudding | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Hood | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mysterious Tale | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Darnquick | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidetown | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Naval Woman | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskenforaraise | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frannie’s Wish | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caleb’s Candy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Fool | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Two R Badfit | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Two R Badbaker | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wec Keah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reseda | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stacy’s Rare Find | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Santa Fe | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Claire | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancininthecountry | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor and Fire | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Bird | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grove St. | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Curlins Incharge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Moonlight | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lear | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time Muse | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Larry | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninety Two | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Flat | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fireball Birdie | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Copper Storm | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Halmstad | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mumayaz | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Edified | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m No Joke | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laridae | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bling Mountain | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rahm | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brahms Image | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Okie Smoke | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.