Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Give Me the Boots | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galley Head | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stolen | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kavala | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Moonshine | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diosa Catrina | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cleomenes | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | T’pring | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadfael | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Maticulant | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Moment | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadfael | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | April de Velp | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Marshall | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rye’s My Guy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Fortune | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream On Baby | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m a Bourbon Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mason’s Music | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That Girl Artemus | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Flag Flying | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreams and Schemes | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moral Turpitude | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sarah’s Dancer | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Diva | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rookie Court | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Executive Search | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo With Laughter | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory March | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walter Me Lad | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hank Ollie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilberforce | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aim for the Sky | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lapochka | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hell Bent | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Scholar | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goodnight My Angel | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Sky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Gem | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vrana (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Froginapond | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mia Mitole | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Humble Heart | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Anastasia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Out N Out Disgrace | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Cash the Money | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Attack | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Globetrotting | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Niigon’s Law | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arami’s Speighster | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Onrush | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watsonville Red | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Out N Out Disgrace | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conn Smythe (GB) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gerald | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Buzz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saccharine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stoke the Fire | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Why Em Sea Ay | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | English Actor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Weller Green | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thor’s Cause | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Perfect | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Shooter | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sprung Loose | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barons Blitz | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Meyer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Mo Town | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Dawn | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frosted Over | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roscar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Spirit | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mason’s Gamble | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Ghosts | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | J P Hellish | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tiz Romantic | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Sunday | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Philip My Dear | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palio | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Day Tripper | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | One More Brew | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allegorical | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Greystone | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exude | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jim’s Hope | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ironsides | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grandson | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hemlo Gold | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Tazman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Motion Granted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ashbridges Bay S.) – Ashbridges Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Clair | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Silent | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Painter | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frac Amour | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Teddy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nikita’s Gem | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Load | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Lake Ontario S.) – Lake Ontario S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No More Options | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cornwall | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Junior Hot Shot | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Garofoli | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jo Daddy | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cooler Man | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Commander | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red in Front | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hanlan | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stephen B Good | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mambo Blue | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loaded Justice | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clive Cross | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Friends | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glorious Revenge | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ashuka | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halcon Negro | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Java Power | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | One Hell of a Girl | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Rocky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Screen Legend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.