Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jack’s Promise |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Waco |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thunderhawk |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
State Park |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Chalk |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Scoville |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Carcar Express |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sparkle of Hope |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sparkle of Hope |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tearduc |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bobbie Sox |
12.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Urban Cowgirl |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Evie’s Encore |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Commanders Palace |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Freedom Attack |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Golden Symphony |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prince of Power |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Box Office |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Know Who You Are |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brewing |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stradivarian |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Neon Bordeaux |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
What Say Thee |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
What Say Thee |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Taking Candy |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flashiest |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Dreaming |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Kabong |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Public Sector (GB) |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ah Jeez |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Call Me Fast |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Judy’s Flyer |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kinzie Queen |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cat Pays the Toll |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blushing Kam |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spunderella |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Combattante |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lob |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tarragon |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Magnitude |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Firmus |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Analog Jones |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Iron Sharpens Iron |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
California Burrito |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Enterdadragon |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Jim |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Her Laugh |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tickin Time Blonde |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magical Day |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enticing Beauty |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wicked Eyes |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catana |
2.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Canterbury Lane |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nancy Lynn |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Modo |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Violet Irene |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ginger N Speightsy |
15.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Her Laugh |
12.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Kavod |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Five o’ Somewhere |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cyclone Mischief |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gold Luck |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Osbourne |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swirvin |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gilcrease |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
River Ridge |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lobo Salvaje |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Artwell |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quarrymen |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Noble Gentleman |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tropandhagen |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midnight Stormy |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Marks Spirit |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Air Cav |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Gamblers Tail |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.