Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaymus | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Belle of the Ball | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balenciaga Betty | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kaymus | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Find Your Joy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoopthereitis | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Sera | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fuligni | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karen’s Honor | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Tempest | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reliable Lady | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’mhavingamoment | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Planet Clare | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kid’s Last Laugh | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adeliese’s Smile | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sarir | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant’s Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Independent Paul | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conniving | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Masterwork | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muazarah | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Again | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jake’s Affection | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Star Boy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Vibes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Splashy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaaterskill | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Better Be Smart | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majulu | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Mission | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freud’s Fancy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Learning to Fly | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Uproar | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purest Performance | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pamplona Red | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Suede Sue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Follow Your Arrow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Swiftsure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fuerteventura | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Harry | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Ways | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wine Collector | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bodecream | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crabs N Beer | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Retweet | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Be Like Clint | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Atlantique | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sword Zorro (IRE) | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tide of the Sea | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Magic Michael | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Costa Terra | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Seeking Unity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ruddy Buddy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Key Cents S.) – Key Cents S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| With the Angels | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | With the Angels | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valtellina | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stone Smuggler | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nina Kay | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bellacose | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’s a Rock | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bam’s Bliss Kiss | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Phoebeinwonderland | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shoot It True | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | From Hello | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Bertrille | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sweet Anniversary | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Red Burgundy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tongue Twister | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Amy’s Light | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bobby M’s Girl | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Silent Melody | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starts Now | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boxed Wine | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Quick Power Nap | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Chasing Daylight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Galley Head | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 15 | Highway Harmony | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aunt Yola | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Spirit of Esther | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tepin S.) – Tepin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s All Charm | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isle of Capri | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laurelin (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Presha | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reining Flowers | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pookie | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Five G | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roshiell My Belle | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Good Conduct | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Annie Goodbody | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’s Our Tiz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Good Long Cry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miriam’s Fire (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magni | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Calling Card | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Max | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joker On Fire | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oath of Omerta | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Asset Management | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Colton | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dominican Thunder | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magni | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Barrie | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.