Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wickenheiser 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Literate 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Gild the Lily 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Six Sense 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Fortyfiveseventy 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Awesome Spirit Gal (FR) 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Speedy River 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kantbackoff 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Gizmo’s B F F 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Remembering Rhoda 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Lulu’s Lullaby 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Crumlin Bird 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Different Drum 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Emerald Lake 3.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Winyah Bay 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Airy Fairy 12.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 War’s End Kiss 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Puddingontheritz 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Exchange Day 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Where Is Essa 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Tricky Magician 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Nameofthegame 15.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Truebelieve 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Legal Attack (GB) 4.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Big Time Louie 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Blackteca 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Exceed 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Volcanic 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Souper Watson 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tiberius Mercurius 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Sunrise Drive 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Luckman 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Fan Club 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Grande Soiree 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Sailor’s Passion 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 C My Meister 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Top of D Mountain 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bright Sunshine 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Serenading Kitten 12.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 D’aurum 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Talbot Heirloom 10.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Tiz Her Money 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Nicki Is a Breeze 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Hymn to Her 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Nashyan 20.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Alta Calibre 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dark Screen 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 My Boy Bruce 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Shadow Realm 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Awesome Rainbow 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Go Jimmy Go 4.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Your Valentino 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Sol de Verano 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Helana 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Golden Test 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Call Me Sue 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Girl Della 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bolt Enoree 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 More Money Hunny 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Enduring 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Vazhi 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Storms of Life 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Nantuckets Day 10.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Good as Gone 8.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Shamans Girl 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Veery 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Talk to Ya Later 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Devil’s Bit 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Swinging Mandy 3.00 6 11-1
8 8 Pemberley 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Flying Black 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Bedazzle Me 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Bijou Baby 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Hay Hay Paula 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Go Giffen 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Secret Reserve 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Niagara Skyline 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ironstone 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Hunt Master 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Rondure 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Malibu Mambo 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Rapid Test 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Twin City 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Hpibet Autumn S.) – Hpibet Autumn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Dresden Row 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Paramount Prince 3.50 1.8 3-1
12 12 Forever Souper 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Stanley House 12.00 4 7-1
9 9 Never Surprised 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Wicked Django 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Bail Us Out 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Tosen Wish (IRE) 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Artie’s Storm 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sir London 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lac Macaza 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 War Bomber (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Bet365 Kennedy Road S.) – Bet365 Kennedy Road S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Patches O’Houlihan 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Flag Of Honour (AUS) 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Nobals 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Remuda 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 War Bomber (IRE) 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Armstrong 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Patrolman 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ghostly Spitfire 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Winston Blue 4.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Sammy Stone 4.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Flawless Ruler 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Lil Bit Gangsta 10.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Silver Smoke 8.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Zippy Gizmo 15.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Stormin Dave 20.00 9.8 19-1
1 1 Prince of Thieves 20.00 10.8 20-1
3 3 Green Amazon 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.