Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Galatians 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Eye On the Candy 12.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Impetud 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Durkin’s Call 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Daredavite 3.50 6.8 13-1
1 1 Suigu Star 4.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 Tiz Speedy 6.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Give It a Go 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Kick Startness 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 El de Larry 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Formal Affair 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Omar Comin 3.50 6 11-1
2 1 Agarramesipuedes 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Run for Your Life 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Cassius 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Whatahardmanfidead 4.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 Langlee Avenue 30.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Chat Blanc 15.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Ghostlyprince 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 12 Le Vin 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Alani 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Soundbite 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Phantasmical 1.60 3.3 6-1
2 2 Song Time 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Not a Bother 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lystra 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Somethingwonderful 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rad Paisley 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Dark Timber 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Addy’s Laddy T N T 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Ikigai 15.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Johnnyfrenchfri 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Icing 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Golden Arm 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Pressing Concern 30.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Shanghai Warrior 50.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pit Stop Man 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 B West 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Morning Thoughts 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Fun Lovin Criminal 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Home School 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Prince Khozan 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Running River 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Master of None 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Marched 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Pudge Boy Palace 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 He’s On Fire 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Freestanding 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Malibu Hooch 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Safe Trust 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Atlantis Queen 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Onyx Ten 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Blessed Candy 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Say You Love Me 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 It’s a Shore Thing 4.50 6.9 13-1
3 3 My Dear Antonia 6.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Christy My Love 4.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Nick’s Notion 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daring Venture 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Smuggler’s Gold 10.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Dats Tap 30.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Bernie the Star 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Yara’s Quest 4.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 On the Level 6.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Wicked Boss 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Change My World 12.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Max N Fifo 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Derz Smart 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Twain 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lovely Charm 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cover the Spread 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Isabella’s Glory 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Feelin So Lucky 6.00 3 6-1
9 9 Daily Planet 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 I Can Do It 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Buckin’ Lucky 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Diamond Sue 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Call Another Play 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 10 A B C Ya 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Northern Cardinal 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Pine Alley 6.00 2.3 4-1
10 11 Bajan Boy 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Box of Rockets 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Stormy Hollow 2.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Band Tour 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Hundred Proof 30.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Lucked In 20.00 10 19-1
1 1 Mr. Pesce 6.00 10.8 20-1
7 7 Is It Five 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.