Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prizeless 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Elusive d’Oro 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Verb 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Lode of Blarney 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Carbon Stryker 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mint 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Bet Again 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unaffiliated 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Channelfortynine 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Simplicated 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Olympia Harbor 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Moor to Conquer 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Nothing Is Every 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Factor of Time 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Swamp Queen 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Dreamy Deal 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Graceful Star 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Clearly Bella 3.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Candy Girl Miss 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Dreamchaser Jewels 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Perfect Deal 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Peppered Gal 15.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Half Sister 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Apriority Avenger 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ells 3.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Family Creed 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Jamaican Me 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Perfect Strike 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Gotta Deal 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Play Master 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Chiefweave 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Theo d’Or 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 D. A.’s Favorite 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Onemotime 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Friendly Hint 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Night Stick 5.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Sonny’s Nelson 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Butchy Boy 15.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Wow Bubble 3.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 My Liam 10.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Copesthebomb 12.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Mustacheuaquestion 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Moion 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Wings Like Eagles 1.20 1.5 3-1
3 3 You Have No Idea 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Madelyn’s Hit 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Day for the Gray 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Imma Going to Win 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Moni Design 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Good by Faith 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Sarah in the House 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Psalm Prayer 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Take Her Away 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Howit Happened 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hayhaycaptain Jac 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Daryl’s Bolt 3.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Three Gold Pieces 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Four Dice 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 A Brush of Luck 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Sparra 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Mud On My Boots 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Bay Be Gone 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Preferito Da Barbi 10.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Dr. Snyder 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prado’s Priority 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Charco 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Alterana 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Flower Cat 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Copter 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Double Barrel Man 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Astrologysprotege 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Chad’s Flash 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Cryptozonic 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Triple L’s Cutter 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Katie’s Karat 5.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Crystal Crescent 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Rain 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Cozzolani 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Ryan’s Grace 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Savannah’s Here 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Be Bo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cupcake Cowboy 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Knight’s Gold 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Three Sevens 3.00 6 11-1
9 9 Lacey’s Kat 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Romancing Ms Judy 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Cajun Country 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Twice as Sassi 15.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Tyler’s Sensation 20.00 9 17-1
6 6 Sixteen Degrees 15.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Lt. Tent 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Red On the Head 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 The Last Cat 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.