Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Andtheomofthebrave |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Gain |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Andtheomofthebrave |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just a Graze |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Desert Rocket |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Scent |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Make It a Large |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Jo’s Curlin |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sir Rocket |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Desi Arnaz S.) – Desi Arnaz S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Silent Law |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Practical Dream |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mawu |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Two Bar |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tenma |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Orange Thunder |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Less Is More |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hey Jessie |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Renatus |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Om N Joy |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Co Heart |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mrazek’s Old Dream |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tropical Rain Day |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Tequila Talkin |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Southern Slang |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ocasek |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Red On Sunday |
3.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Big Cheeseola |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Picking It Up |
10.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Constant Conflict |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mischievous Dylan |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tigerhon (FR) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boss Sully |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Central Dispatch |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Player B |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irideo (ARG) |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sigiloso |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Pax a Punch |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whiskeyinateacup |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Farenheit O C |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Citizen Barrett |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
P Town Prancer |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Valentines Candy |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Empire Warrior |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Master Jacques |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Petrified |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
11 |
Pura Vida Princesa |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Special Look |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magale |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pam and Tina (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paarl |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Headstrong Ways |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Privilege |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stormy Paradise |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rice Paddy |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Madame Secretary |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Mademm Coco |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
98 |
Can’tdealwithit |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
12 |
Molly Jensen |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
98 |
Aleramo (IRE) |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
7 |
Unbridled Vision |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
9 |
Devil Among Us |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Afternoon Nap |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Bee Eye Gee |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Good Vibes Only |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
J Dutton |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Travelin’ Show |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Spiritual Advisor |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Black Beards Ghost |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Smiling Beast |
2.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
98 |
Disobey |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Fire Ban |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Last Elizabethan |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Happyasaclam (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Step It Out (IRE) |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dangerous Affair |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blue Fashion |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nakota (IRE) |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crimson Sonata |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
God’s Favor |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queen Berkeley |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rich of Joy |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Morgan’s Bluff |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Highly Desirable (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Flight to Quality (FR) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.