Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Andtheomofthebrave 0 0-1
6 6 Big Gain 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Andtheomofthebrave 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Just a Graze 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Desert Rocket 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 The Scent 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Make It a Large 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Miss Jo’s Curlin 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Sir Rocket 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Desi Arnaz S.) – Desi Arnaz S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Silent Law 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Practical Dream 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mawu 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Two Bar 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tenma 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Orange Thunder 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Less Is More 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Hey Jessie 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Renatus 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Om N Joy 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Co Heart 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Mrazek’s Old Dream 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tropical Rain Day 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tequila Talkin 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Southern Slang 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Ocasek 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Red On Sunday 3.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 The Big Cheeseola 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Picking It Up 10.00 5 10-1
6 6 Constant Conflict 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Mischievous Dylan 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tigerhon (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Boss Sully 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Central Dispatch 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Player B 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Irideo (ARG) 3.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sigiloso 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Pax a Punch 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Whiskeyinateacup 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Farenheit O C 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Citizen Barrett 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 P Town Prancer 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Valentines Candy 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Empire Warrior 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Master Jacques 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Petrified 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 11 Pura Vida Princesa 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Special Look 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Magale 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Pam and Tina (IRE) 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Paarl 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Headstrong Ways 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 American Privilege 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Stormy Paradise 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rice Paddy 30.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Madame Secretary 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Mademm Coco 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 98 Can’tdealwithit 0.00 SCRATCH
14 12 Molly Jensen 12.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Aleramo (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Unbridled Vision 12.00 1 2-1
10 9 Devil Among Us 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Afternoon Nap 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Bee Eye Gee 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Good Vibes Only 15.00 4 8-1
6 5 J Dutton 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Travelin’ Show 20.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Spiritual Advisor 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Black Beards Ghost 3.50 4.9 9-1
7 6 Smiling Beast 2.50 5.9 11-1
3 98 Disobey 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fire Ban 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Last Elizabethan 2.50 3.3 6-1
12 12 Happyasaclam (IRE) 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Step It Out (IRE) 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Dangerous Affair 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Blue Fashion 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Nakota (IRE) 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Crimson Sonata 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 God’s Favor 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Queen Berkeley 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Rich of Joy 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Morgan’s Bluff 30.00 8.4 16-1
14 14 Highly Desirable (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flight to Quality (FR) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.