Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Khozy My Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Creek Louie | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Levy | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lions Not Sheep | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darylslittlediablo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resolutionist | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Power Red | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Once Upon a Dream | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gist | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Devil | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark Afternoon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twentyone N Change | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turquoise Blue | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brucelea | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Order of Merit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now N Later Gator | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Charles | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Appleseed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clearwater Sunset | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Macho | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Over Me | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking the Bank | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Last Thing | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Runner | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Safe Bet | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corredor | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bigtimeinthecity | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fontes | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What About Jimmy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knative Knife | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Ticktok | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Legal Empress | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Very Unlikely | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ninth Island | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy Gurl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Razors Edge | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frannie’s Wish | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Y Factor | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Hour Queen | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | By Request | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Steel | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Didntseethatcoming | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leviathan Axe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandsonsam | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vestes | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wristband | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cole Trickle | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wrinkle Road | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Herecomestroy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Buck | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | K O American Pie | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Lottie | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy’s a Dandy | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Littleeurogirl | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reality Check | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Euro Kountry Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fly Fenix Fly | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freeloadingsistah | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Tune | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Em | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letta’s Legacy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnolia Avenue | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accelerate Judy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Cold Lover | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Dot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mind Bolt | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woods N Water | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manor Born | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Reid | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Not Wine | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mach Two | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.