Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Izzy’s Baby Boy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Creekside 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Fiesty Fist 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Doublediamond Deal 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Bind Faith 6.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Half Again 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Kajun Karma 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Insignis 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ghost Cowboy 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Lucky’s Secret 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Hawaiian Argument 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Putthehammerdown 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Chief Kimosabi 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Rockall 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cajun Mitole 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Running Ragged 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Yakety Yock 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Seitan 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Deelitesandimsum 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Louisiana Boss 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Bella’s Boss 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Box of Candy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Adios Carlos 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Gerard 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Bisping 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Slither 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Crankshaft 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Cheatin Charlie 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Ojitos 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 The Feature 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Donna’s Court 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pure Malice 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lil Sweet Thang 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Den’s Good Grace 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Dynamic Sun 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 True Crimson 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Main Dude 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Stone Alliance 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Go Cats 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nana’s Sweet Girl 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Midnight Blaze 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Sammy Sam Sam 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Miss Holy Mischief 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Fern Spirit 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Elwin 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mopac Traffic 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Sheza Lunatic 10.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 This Gray Mischiev 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Son Carlos 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Custom Star 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Tommy Six Fingers 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Billy Bowlegs 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Whatta Life 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 I’m a Night Train 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Country Cat Jake 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Gone Solution 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Count On Rain 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 De’ Ans Eighty 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Katies Factor 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lady of Devon 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Layla’s Song 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bling It K K 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Tenacious Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Surrey 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Miss Leona 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Hauntress 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Debbo 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 La Cantaros 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Scampering Ma’am 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 E R’s Mireya 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Kat’s Princess 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Shehasanattitude 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Midnight Cigarette 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Acesanddiamonds 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Don’t Blink Twice 12.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Miss Mo Tom 20.00 10.3 19-1
12 12 Time to Close 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nanny’s Houdini 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.