Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Graywing |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kid Billy |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Messi the Magician |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yo Banana Boy |
0.80 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Majestic Tiger |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ragazzo Diabolico |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Chileno |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
O P Firecracker |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Certified Loverboy |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Victors Valiant |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Principe d’Oro |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ice Time |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whiskey N Soda |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Midnight Concerto |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tour Jete |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spooky Lady |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Munny Grab |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bernt Again |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Snowy Evening |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Malu |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Being Betty |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Brocknardini |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
The Shoe Lady |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Concorde Spirit |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tomschickenfingers |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Isomarshall |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Humstinger |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
This Time Yes |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maximus Monster |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Braca |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Drive Thru |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Hard Circle |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
8 |
My Man Magoo |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Beach Invasion |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Nod to Tran |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
McHale |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Flat to Da Mat |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
After Taxes (IRE) |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Snare |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Regal Alliance |
50.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
9 |
Then What Time |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1A |
14 |
Foil |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Apple Jax |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Grey Ace |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Twain |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Parkerness |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heard On Thestreet |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Good Reunion |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Watasha |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Two for Charging |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
King Moonracer |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Midnight Worker |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Devil’s Cay |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Chief Ron |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Natural Harbor |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Secret Rules |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Backside Buzz |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Commerce Comet |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Squire Creek |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sagamore Mischief |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leddy |
50.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Synthesis |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Biz Biz Buzz |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fluid Situation |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Boat’s a Rockin |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gaslight Dancer |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Live High Live Low |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Barzini |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charging |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seaver |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dr Oseran |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
14 |
14 |
Surveillance |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Java Buzz |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Full Moon Madness |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Bolt of Aurum |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Ridgewood Runner |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Just Licorice |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mo Kreesa |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Resistance Futile |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Revivalism |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tino in Toga |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miles and Miles |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Romeo Void |
4.50 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Daytona Moonshine |
3.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bookitwithhaddad |
10.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rocked Out |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.