Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Greatizlove 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gibson 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Seasonal Love 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Bearcat 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Yankeestrolgy 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Irish Billy 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Pea Eye 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Little Randy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Special Dispatch 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mosquito Fleet 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Contemplation 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Bello Creedo 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Minor Discrepancy 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Golden Quality 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Calculated Luv 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Street Art 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Causeway Benny 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Poppa Magic 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Southscape 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Pegaso 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Call Me Rip 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Louisiana Luca 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Kat’s Soldier 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Misterholyroller 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Target Ready 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mor Jazz 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Cool Ride 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Mymanrowen 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bad Brad 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Yes Jack 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Doce de la Noche 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Aller Vite 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Out Making Treble 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Mr Ramirez 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Garfish 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Empire Kid 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 F T W Slam 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Wishert 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Summertime Peppers 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Bouldering 5.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Lovely Sassicaia 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Run Carlos 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Classy Shipman 15.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Hay Diddle Diddle 4.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Yakety Yak 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 F J’s Flaco 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Saucy Argument 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Dee’s Legs 3.50 6 11-1
8 8 Hit the Bullseye 2.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 Friend’s Do Care 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Good and Stout 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Brite Outlook 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Toddchero 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Special Stormy 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Up N Gone 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Biloxi 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Josh’s Dream 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Monaasib 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dare to Fail 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss St. Claire 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Custom Candy 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Easy Bet 4.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 I’m All Mixed Up 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Saberfight 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Come What Mae 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Cece Wave 6.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Grace’s Soldier 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Kappa Hill 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Calling 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.