Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Come to Papa |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Come to Papa |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ultimate Strike |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awol |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hope Joe’s Right |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grand Kingdom |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wise Counsel |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Elko County |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tennessee Lamb |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baby Avery |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magnificent Rags |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Churning Berni |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Greer’s Gold |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Speed Institute |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Appeal Denied |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kant Beat the Rock |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Monterey Peninsula |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Global Stage |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Woodythebidspotter |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oncoming Train |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ready Pursuit |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Metallic Man |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sharp Speed |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Baytown Boujee |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Dazzler |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
High Summer |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Star |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baytown Boujee |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sharp Speed |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Romany Road |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reecho |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Talent Show |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dual Income |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Very Bold |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Razorcat |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Redacted |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Honor Bo |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Free Advice |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Invisible |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Messi the Great |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Skynet |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Baby Max |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sock It to Me |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Equus |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bette Davis |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Had That One Too |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Storm Bay |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ladan |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rosario’s Prayer |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
El Prestigio |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Outofpi |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spiced Up |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Donut God |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Motel Patel |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miracle On Central |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Graydaria |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Pair of Socks |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gettinby |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bon Temps |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tip Toe Joe |
30.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dontworryboutnothn |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Top Gun Girl |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Makeup |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
16 |
16 |
Nay V Belle |
4.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
17 |
17 |
Ervadean |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Connie K |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
13 |
13 |
Chandana |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Current Climate |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jill Jitterbug |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mucho Macho Girl |
15.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yamile’s |
20.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stella Teresa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Louder Than Words |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bedazzle ‘Em |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Miss Enchanted |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Krispy Rice |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Flatter Me Silly |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Samay (PER) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Grand Morning |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Desperate Proposal |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
G. Erik |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shotgun |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spurious |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cavanal |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Itsinmyblood |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kicking Clear |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Baltoro |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mor Success |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.