Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tapwrits Temper 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Thunder Princess 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Well Suited 2.50 7.1 13-1
5 5 Bernie Goes Boom 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Valid Connection 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Papa Paulie P 6.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Real Eleve 4.50 8.5 16-1
7 7 Vamonos Vamonos 4.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Papa’s Nico Boy 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Enigmatic 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bobby Jean 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Roman Goddess 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Backstretch Rose 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Elliptic 3.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Duckphat 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Brooklyn Dantz 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 La Vita Sofia 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 For Some Reason 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kahala 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Smile Mon 1.80 3.5 7-1
3 3 Allaboutthemoney 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Winnin’onweekends 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Skylander 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 High Tide 20.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Night Effect 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mendee 10.00 1 2-1
3 2 African Waters 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 5 Addressable Market (IRE) 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Steel Lute 1.80 6.4 12-1
6 6 Silvology 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Exotic Cat 50.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Runway Lights 20.00 7 13-1
4 3 Weighted Average 2.50 7.6 14-1
7 7 Golden Note 15.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Akayla (IRE) 8.00 8 15-1
13 14 Looking for Ginny 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Classic Cara 30.00 SCRATCH
12 13 The Taco Lady 1.40 SCRATCH
1A 12 Pay the Bills (FR) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 On a Summer Day 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Good Long Cry 3.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Table Flirt 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Chelsey’s Choice 5.00 5 10-1
4 4 Lady Gunner 15.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Majestic March 10.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Pionus 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Olatz (GB) 3.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Green Jobs 6.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Acousticat 8.00 9.2 17-1
15 15 Aerialist 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Quoin 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ice Cream Boat 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mischievous Trick 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Keepthedreamalive 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Rasta Girl 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Legal Deal 0 0-1
9 9 Perfect Flight 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Legal Deal 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Mason Mania 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Giroovin 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Higher Quality 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Montebello 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Mo Rewards 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Bar Fourteen 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Styner 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Latest Edition 0 0-1
4 4 Collaboration 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Striker Has Dial 4.50 2.3 4-1
11 11 Reflexivity (IRE) 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Solib 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 By Any Other Name (AUS) 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Latest Edition 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Marco T. 3.50 7.2 14-1
6 6 Wudhooh 10.00 8 15-1
10 10 Lisa’s Vision 6.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Georgees Spirit 15.00 8.9 17-1
16 16 Planet Clare 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Reconcile 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Patria 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tap It Up 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Golden Rocket 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Evie Does It 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Classic Mark 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 High Heat 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Winter’s Ghost 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Honorary Degree 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Prince James 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Nolo Contesto 2.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Union Lights 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Bronx Bomber 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Prince of Joy 30.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Bustin Shout 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.