Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tapwrits Temper |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thunder Princess |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Well Suited |
2.50 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bernie Goes Boom |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Valid Connection |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Papa Paulie P |
6.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Real Eleve |
4.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vamonos Vamonos |
4.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Papa’s Nico Boy |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Enigmatic |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bobby Jean |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Roman Goddess |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Backstretch Rose |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Elliptic |
3.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Duckphat |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brooklyn Dantz |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
La Vita Sofia |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
For Some Reason |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kahala |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smile Mon |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Allaboutthemoney |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Winnin’onweekends |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Skylander |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
High Tide |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Night Effect |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mendee |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
African Waters |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
5 |
Addressable Market (IRE) |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Steel Lute |
1.80 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silvology |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
1 |
Exotic Cat |
50.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Runway Lights |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
3 |
Weighted Average |
2.50 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Golden Note |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Akayla (IRE) |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
13 |
14 |
Looking for Ginny |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Classic Cara |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
13 |
The Taco Lady |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
12 |
Pay the Bills (FR) |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
On a Summer Day |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Good Long Cry |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Table Flirt |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chelsey’s Choice |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Gunner |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Majestic March |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Pionus |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Olatz (GB) |
3.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Green Jobs |
6.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Acousticat |
8.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
15 |
15 |
Aerialist |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Quoin |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Ice Cream Boat |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Mischievous Trick |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Keepthedreamalive |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Rasta Girl |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Legal Deal |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Perfect Flight |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Legal Deal |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mason Mania |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Giroovin |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Higher Quality |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Montebello |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mo Rewards |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bar Fourteen |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Styner |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Latest Edition |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Collaboration |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Striker Has Dial |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Reflexivity (IRE) |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Solib |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
By Any Other Name (AUS) |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Latest Edition |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Marco T. |
3.50 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wudhooh |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lisa’s Vision |
6.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Georgees Spirit |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
16 |
16 |
Planet Clare |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Reconcile |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Patria |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Tap It Up |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Golden Rocket |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Evie Does It |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Classic Mark |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
High Heat |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Winter’s Ghost |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Honorary Degree |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prince James |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nolo Contesto |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Union Lights |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bronx Bomber |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prince of Joy |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bustin Shout |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.