Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Rossington |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hoppertullio |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toady Hopper |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cauteloso |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Marine Patrol |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Harrison C |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boys of Summer |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Villanito |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Villanito |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Khopesh |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mendelsfly |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Surfboard |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Squad |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bointheback |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Liam’s Kiss |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Connelmaura |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mo Town Annie |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sirenetta |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amalfi Lady |
3.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gormley Girl |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pylon |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marathoner |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lookin’ Super |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spotted Bull |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Captain Chazz |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mundo Mix |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Almond Cider |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Olliemeister |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiskey Prize |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mucho Macho Eddie |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wizard Serrat |
5.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Golden Wildcat |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
We Ready |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crafty Don |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jebologist |
8.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Catch My Vibe |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Nuedorf |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Warrior’s Vow |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rabbit |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Scamp Walker |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tough Workout |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
So Close So Far |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magical Jaime |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bluey |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Factor U and Me In |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Atrocious |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atrocious |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tricolour |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Harbour Bridge |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lecanto |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
St Pete’s Passion |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Carry Grant |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Secured Landing |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Traffic Master |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prince of Chill |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Patriarchal |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Gatekeeper |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Motskari |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zoppi Fischbein |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Noneedtoworry |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Chelsea Wall |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ifihadachance |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Valiant Majesty |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Peyton’s College |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mended We Stand |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rolls Royce Joyce |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Road to Dreams |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss M M |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Turn On the Charm |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.