Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Aunt Mo |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wren |
1.80 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boujee Beach |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aransas Pass |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mia Sorpresa |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Evco |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hardtobebetternow |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dynodave |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nap |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Falcon Wings |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don’t Have Another |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
She’s Resilient |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gypsy Lynn |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Why Behave |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ur in Trouble |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Woodbine Way |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Discrepancy |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dance Kid |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Harry Houdini |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Excel Calculator |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shofner |
3.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magnify |
1.20 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Semper Invictus |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mongolian Champ |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Isabel Ludlow |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Celebration |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Isabel Ludlow |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Like No Other |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Perfect in Gray |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Misty Muppet |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Talent for Gold |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Amelia Bleu |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Pixy Stix |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Respect the Crown |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sabres |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Classically |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stick Shift |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silver N Black |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bruckner |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Arromax |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Supreme Coast |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whats the Buzz |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mining District |
10.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
7 |
7 |
L Squared |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tomorrownevercomes |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
My Summer Dream |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hot Box |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Give Me the Lute |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cane Creek Road |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dr. Soulfire |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inch |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Patron d’Oro |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Instinct D’ Oro |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Helladic |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eastbound |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Betty Grable S.) – Betty Grable S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Big Summer |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pushiness |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Summer |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chismosa |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Safa |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Wahine |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roberta’s Love |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Back On Track |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Kawazaki (IRE) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quality Wins |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Phoenix Flying |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kawazaki (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Resemblance |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Andreadytorumble |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sir Maximus |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Empire’s Classic |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crown Council |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stormin Midnight |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.