Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wine Responsibly | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Road | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | York Tavern | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Assertive Attitude | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Arc | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deputy Connect | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Purchase | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scotto | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Wicked Smart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Millie Jean | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colette’s Joy | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corri Felice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jenas Mercy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | That’sthefactjack | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eddies Rocket | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Iris | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Evening | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nature’s Candy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Moth | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midtown Lights | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetest Princess | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willow Bend | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Tart | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Runningwscissors | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 8 | Tall Paul | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Russi | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Icy Flavor | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Twisted Filigree | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Run Curtis Run | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yarrow | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runningwscissors | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heymackit’sjack | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Feathers Road | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scuttlebuzz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Acoustic Ave | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Aggelos the Great | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reteko | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Sea | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cooper | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snookie Bear | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Radauti | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Beta | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Volatile Storm | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laird of Magnolia | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | No Merlot | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Constitution Road | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Papa Golf | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burn Notice | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | My Man Magoo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Iron Max | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Tracking Error | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Intuitive Wisdom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Timeout | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pentathlon | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Equivoque | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yo Daddy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commuted | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asmodeus | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson Heights | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Global Perspective | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Masmak | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emirates Road | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hero’s Medal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ari’s Magic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Forever Together S.) – Forever Together S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Delahaye | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breath Away (GB) | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quarrel | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Canisy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Root Cause | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edict (ARG) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Payout Ratio (IRE) | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Venencia (FR) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Movie Moxy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Long Island S.) – Long Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be Your Best (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Be Your Best (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | La Mehana (FR) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avenue Niel (IRE) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Immensitude (FR) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Boogie | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatlovelookslike | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blush (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Therearenorules | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Firefoot | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Dean | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Arwen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rainingatthebeach | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Accelerina | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Violets Smile | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Permed | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bewildered | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hazel | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Eight Ball | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Glory | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alley’s Song | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.