Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Structured | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Mischief | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Terka | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ripster | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Life At Sea | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rail Town | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nerky Rose | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Get Ripped | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bronte Diem | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Feel It | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deposit Insurance | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Folding Money | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Grande | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let Me Love You | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Jacked Up | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Raider | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Will | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Travis | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zim’s Trans Am | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riden the Legend | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Into Whiskey | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Time | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midshipman’s Lady | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Doo Dah Day | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Prairie Gal | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Yellowstone | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exclusive Access | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tharolite | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Willa | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gospel Clarity | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belleria Baby | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Words | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Joan Jets | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Imamidnightspecial | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Secret Code | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Camelia | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Treasure | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Gold Rush | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ziah Y G | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mamashavnahotflash | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rollin Chrome | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms. Hillary | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tay Tay’s Baby | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Okie Code | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms I Speight | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Apriati | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Two Hands Full | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bobwhite Bobby | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mortify | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legacy Account | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Norway Beach | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storms Last | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charming Oakie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cielo’s Knight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s All Ears | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Power | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Promise Code | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Blaze | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap N Play | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chuy Garza Y. G. | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Changing Times | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eakly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | From the Heart | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of Spoatie | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aztec Fire | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wilton | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shamayim | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Swimmer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Moon Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Glendale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.