Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Will | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benster | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breezy Blue | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G’oro | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s Star | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lita Way | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leyas Candy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joint Venture | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s My House | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taishan | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fowler Blue | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiergarten | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sareeha (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empress Ellie | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mama Sue | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasingserendipity | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highlands | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Diva | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mylittlerunaway | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Remi Or Not | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Recruit | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ignatowski | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Curlin | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naukanauka | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torleif | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’squite Mischief | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Timty | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Kidder | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Shillelagh | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Steak Fries | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Binging | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Trust Me | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nijinsky Halo | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Dolce | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sevak | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Panuco | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bowtie Boys | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pop d’Oro | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhino | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bert’s Prospect | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Alert | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Supermax | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Drinker | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Do It for Dave | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Mojo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moment’s Pleasure | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lamporghini | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shocking Grey | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Claypoole (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Montjica (FR) | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Venganza | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Hy | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baltic Fire | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Brightside (IRE) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Cary Grant S.) – Cary Grant S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Man O Rose | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big City Lights | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Kaos | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moose Mitchell | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | None Above the Law | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dont Fight the Fed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Sixpack | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big George | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enjoy It Strait | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Takes Three | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kerry Gold | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fly the Sky | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’llhaveanotherwon | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dazzle the Command | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brazenly | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.