Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mo for Us |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vino Frizzante |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Roselee May |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Favorite Girl |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapit Quick |
3.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pour a Little More |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dancing Princess |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queenoftheuniverse |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Rose Palace |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summer of Mischief |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sequin Lady |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rose Palace |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiffany Twist |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Altered Shot |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Annmarie |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forever Home |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Abitibi |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ruvies in Time |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rosie’s Halo |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Instant Replay |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Authentic Style |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Knock Knock Joke |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sir Gallivant |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Capo Luca |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Otter Mischief |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gallo de Fuego |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lured Away |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mintastic |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vino Dominus |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Serketas |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Shortstop |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summonyourcourage |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hangin in There |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lou’s Legacy |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Added Mischief |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Geno’s Myth |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Teen Idol |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Captain Fancy |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Don’t Backdown |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Stiglets |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Maui Strong |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Final Gambit |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Plensa |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Zap d’Etat |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hamlin |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Major Mischief |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lebowski |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Grim Reaper |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kye |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
14 |
14 |
Lemon Sohn |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Unlock Your Heart |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Ornato |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Halter Boy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Vinobello |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Colormecairo |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mustang Lady |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yes to Champagne |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eyes of Gold |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Meet in Secret |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Extremely Gruntled |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Candy Doll |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Leametatrainer |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Cararra |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Tapit Shoes |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Parchment Party |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kinetic |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baton Rouge |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mackman |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Creative Minister |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Single Dot Yaht |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Dai Vernon |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Game Warden |
6.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bourbon Resolve |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
San Siro |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hayes Strike |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tapit Shoes |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Recker Point |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Dream Supreme S.) – Dream Supreme S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mystic Pleasure |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spirit Wind |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mystic Pleasure |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Accomplished Girl |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Upper Case |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Into Love |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Treat |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lure’em In |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Miss Arlington |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Girls Weekend |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Track Phantom |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rocket Can |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gulfstream Way |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bromley |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
16 |
16 |
Blue Devil |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Accretive |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Arro Smash |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Horace Mann |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lofty Adjudicator |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Full Screen |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Condemn |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Osbourne |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Gilcrease |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Machine Gun Man |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Big Hat Willie |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
World Record |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (River City S.) – River City S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Emmanuel |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reckoning Force |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cash Equity (FR) |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gigante |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Masteroffoxhounds |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Battle of Normandy |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hades |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Public Sector (GB) |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wonderful Justice (GB) |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Harlan Estate |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lil Gin N Class |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thestral |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Peabody |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Antique Silver |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mila Junes |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bourbon Breeze |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Birdie Rose |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Little Sister Sue |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Idalou |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Jackie’s Love |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Bella Cruella |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Just Like You |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.