Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Math Tutor | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tux | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salamis | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Bourbon for Toby | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Georgia Magic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Peak Performer | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Illuminare | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mariachi | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Native | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun It | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Thunder | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reddington | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belle of the Ball | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the Ball | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Jam | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Magic | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Jackson | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spiritual Lady | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balenciaga Betty | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Book of Wisdom | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starry Midnight | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman’s Marlin | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Focus Pocus | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Watch Over Me | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Cara | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lu’s Redemption | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Splendid One | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purest Performance | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Indecente | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | When Your Strange | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sherman’s Marlin | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Hill Prince S.) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cugino | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bartlett | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deterministic | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Main Beach | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Right to Vote | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desvio | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Miztertonic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Funny Uncle | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Outtawaterbury | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Barnstorming | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kick a Buck | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Omni King | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Life and Light | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Scat Tu Tap | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tony O | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Shadizaar | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Front Man | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Ghostlyprince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 14 | Smile Mon | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 15 | Ice Time | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Musical Maestro | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Magnificent Mile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vinsanity | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Bet | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sorority Prank | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Screaming Uncle | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beaver State | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sin Nombre | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberte de Bayeux | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I See You Lookin | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alogon | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Alogon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Senbei | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Son of a Birch | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Six Black | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Kid | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jean Valjean | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Implementation | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thin White Duke | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shefflin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Works for Me | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sheriff Bianco | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grooms All Bizness | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Red Smith S.) – Red Smith S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Adhamo (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Integration | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Master Piece (CHI) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Limited Liability | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneering Spirit | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daunt | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Man | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rebel Red (GB) | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curbstone | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Luna Mia | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 15 | 15 | Vehemente | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tower Twenty Two | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Furry Fox | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Olivia’s Wish | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Infastuation | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Awesome Roberta | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dear John | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | O K to Dance | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Notmysteppingstone | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Backwater | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Bella Luna Mia | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Fifi La Fume | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Instant Vision | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lightning Mama | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wave | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Trulli Magic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.