Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Roulette 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bobby Merlot 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Sam’s Promise 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 R T’s d’Oro 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Benissimo 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Moon Trip 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 A True Target 20.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 My Story 10.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Mucho Macho Cam 15.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Royal de Be 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Custom Sunshine 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Country Angel 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Hidden Love 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Special Girl 15.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 R T’s Cajun Lady 12.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Expect a Dancer 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Missheartbreaker 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Dylan’s Dream 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Galaxy Affair 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Megans Millions 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 All American Pat 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gogo Bobbyjo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cunimbus 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Zestiny 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mo Can Do 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Gem Buoy 2.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Island Cabana 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Toni’s Inferno 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Spirit 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 B W P Spirit 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Marks Promise 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Bayou Beaux 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Stomping Hotrod 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Ojitos 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Samurai’s Grandson 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Arkansas Zong 15.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Truvy’s Bandit 20.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Supreme Capo 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Patio’s Porch 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Calibrachoamatters 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Boss Soss 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Party At Jays 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Dude Drop Kid 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Native Star 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Otra Cosa 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 El Deal Me Aces 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Midnight Halo 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Cajun Mischief 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flashin Chip 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Superhero 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Mr. Ronnie 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Patek 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Lt. Tent 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Country Hit 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Get a Grip On It 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tap to Connect 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Into Wishing 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Executive Action 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 4 Unanimously 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 City Park 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Talk to Tokey 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Fort Bonz 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Spectrier 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Perfect Edge 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ain’t So Bad 20.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Mr. Texas Charm 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Vobiscum 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Way Out Front 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Loudermilk 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Catalina Day 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Quick Zong 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Salt Spray (IRE) 1.20 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.