Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paint Me Beautiful | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hyacinth Bucket | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bahamian Baby | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamingoffreedom | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Lady in Red | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Music | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Picardy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maryvic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Go Chloe Go | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pylon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jw’strickymischief | 0.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justinspeightofit | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Box | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wood Be Wild | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thundering March | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brother Vinny | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Scudetto | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master of Tweets | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Captain | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Vinny | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chilling Time | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Winner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bernie Goes Boom | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renegade Serenade | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Group Ticket | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darvesh | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ferrari Kid | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance a Dini | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Beemster | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Lion | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ascribe | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Renegade Serenade | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zanduhoc | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Latta | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exploration | 0.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elvis Himself | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D Day | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Can Do Magic | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Jersey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jolly Grey Giant | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Soze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoke Wagon | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twentyeighttothree | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ejtimaa | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Fleet | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlins Cruzin | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bali Amour | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Excellorator | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Moon | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Movisitor | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Praetorian Guard | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Fudge Warrior | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disco Ebo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Undici | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flamingo Way | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight in Alaska | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empress Deona | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mary Q | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dewey Doit | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.