Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Theuncapturedlady |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Dialithic |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Theuncapturedlady |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sudoku Terry |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bubbly Champagne |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dialithic |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Some of It |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bellwether |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Happy Holiday |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Theuncapturedlady |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Humor Sense |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady O’Brien |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
On the Nile |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Possession |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Zoya’s Faith |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
R Hot Mess |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Girvaceous |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Barbaresco Baby |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Athletic |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fortune Dreams |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mrs. Cash Man |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mrs Bradstreet |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Get Frosty |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
British Empress |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Goddess Minerva |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adios Laka |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Denver’s Alley |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bianka Heart |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Commencement |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Team Captain |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hey River |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Candy Street |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Doorman |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Belly of Jelly |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nathaniel’s Hope |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Warlord Cruzan |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forty Flash |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Dr. Perry |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Relator |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Alvear |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sponge Time |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Battle Drum (FR) |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Como |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dom Traces |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Authentic Kingdom |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Il Alchemysta |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Boy Jak |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Midnight Boss |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Borrowed Time |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Bakers Street |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Chrome Ghost |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lights of Broadway |
1.80 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Speed |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz the Bomb |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bati King |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rock the Stars |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grand David |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Coldstream |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Black Fury |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nando |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dialbolico |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reggae Man |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iron Tap |
6.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jamaica Redd |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fattoush |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Light Fury |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Happy Runner |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
13 |
13 |
Wicked Genius |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Citizen K |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Opposites Attract |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Streaking Grey |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Cupid’s Dude |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Be Here |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uranium |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Artemus Bridge |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Ocala Dream |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Indy Lyon |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Nantasket Beach |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Orb Alpha |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
In the Blue |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Break the Ice |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiz the Coast |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Divining Stone |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Toby |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Le Mistral |
6.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Poseidons Myth |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Summer Storm Stric |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Smile Po |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mi Triguena |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kurutu |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valiant Kiss |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paradise Wins |
1.80 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nashville Slew |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Del Rosario |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Verifiable |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Taking It All |
30.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mrs. Katz |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Refugiada |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tell Me Some Lies |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Frothy |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jassai |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arisaema |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kilkenny Bella |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bet Stormy |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.