Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ma Rae’s Girl | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Itzel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imaboutago (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shuangxi (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ivory Moon | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vitalera (CHI) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’m Still in It | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Rules | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Gal | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Amy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roses n’ Chrome | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Que Bella Luna | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lee’s Baby Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slick (IRE) | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gathered | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lolo Le Plume | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Resolve | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Preem | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dandy Vandy (FR) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giggle Giggle | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Rover Lady (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firenze Flavor | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Twirling Light | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rio Del Sol | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Amorita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Demotivate | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J B Strikes Back | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saltwater Cowboy | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokem Ez | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Pass | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | McGregor Lake | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nashoba’s Joy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duran | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Russells Hustle | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Size Does Matter | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Investalot | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bear Hunt | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antibes | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | New York Dreams (GB) | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Legs Romolo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whiskyginandbrandy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hothead | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Letmein | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riding By | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Crusher | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Smokin Dude | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ketonia (FR) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizzyaan | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loterie (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Runamileinmyshoes | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wrigleyville | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vibez | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Word Play (GB) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Enticing | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She Is Romantic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Moment’s Pleasure | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Lamporghini | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Dreamcycle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lettheliquortalk | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Love | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petesoldfashioned | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Man | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Rain | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Des Doigts | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Dylan | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Satellite Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Prancelot | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quantum Innergy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shezmisbehaving | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashleys Sandcastle | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Monclaire | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annie’s Hope | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glacier Rim | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smart Monique | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 98 | Big Mama Sue | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bold Choice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Councilwoman Jilly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Only Reputation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.