Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyclone State | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Cyclone State | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Hulka | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antietam | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cooper | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cyclone State | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fun to Tap | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Interceptor | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dio Romano | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Turnback The Alarm S.) – Turnback The Alarm S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Evidencias (BRZ) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Signal From Noise | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amanda’s Folly | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Moxy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racing Colors | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Real Savvy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leon Blue | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just Licorice | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tralee Girl | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caddiemaster | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Masterson | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Powered by Coal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Danger | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Dosser | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calvin’s Ride | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Danziger | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miles and Miles | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Calling Card | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peony | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flight Control | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss of All | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Top of the Table | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Power Nap | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Linarite | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sun and Wind | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Queens Over Threes | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Short Shift | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Bee | 8.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Bourbon | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open Flame | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Rodeo Star | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Mo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bernieandtherose | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toxic Girl | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Material Girl | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Open Flame | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eleni | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Endless Vow | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Higher Force | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Dakotah | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Don’t Walk | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rodeo Star | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Storm Changer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pretty Magical | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Straca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Pumpkin Pie S.) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dazzling Move | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Nic’s Style | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St. Benedicts Prep | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khali Magic | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzling Move | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zadorsky | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rachel’s Rock | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Braganza | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Katherine | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Master Freud | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Filigree | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Li’l Lang | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eddie the Great | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nano Man | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mazzei | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Rod | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tomacon | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Very Stormy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Lister | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Always a Warrior | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Huntsman | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sharp Play Boy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Discovery S.) – Discovery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Batten Down | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tuscan Sky | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Vino | 50.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corporate Power | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Generous Tipper | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regalo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hamilton’s Way | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Copper Tax | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commuted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trinity River | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ozzy | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | G Five | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twohonestmischief | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Have a Cigar | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | George Briggs | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tahila | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Matthew | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Due | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romeo Void | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arch’s Assault | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viking Warrior | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Oath of Omerta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dominican Thunder | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.