Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Must Be Love | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jolly Boss | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zip Line to Heaven | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katie’s Notion | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watch Out World | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benny Havens | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buckin’ Dreamer | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cattivo Ragazzo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Full Irish | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Doc Linkous | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Dancer | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unkept Secret | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love to Eat | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Dance | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hateful | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lilly Lightning | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Nan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quality Weekend | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Monster Summer | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Afterneath | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rye Smile | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fondre | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Princess Lucia | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Summer Love | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | White Heat | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spoils of War | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Sun | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ganbatte | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Quality Weekend | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monster Summer | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Minime | 15.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | City Kiss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lottie Deno | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Midnight | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dark Dutchess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Southern District | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helms Deep | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gambling Tzar | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aliferous | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Formal Order | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s On Fire | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eye On the Candy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speightful Sis | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Touisset | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shine On Moon | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chickahominy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Art | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Juniper Juice | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waittilmidnitehour | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bondiva | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kilo Road | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bruder | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nancy Made My Day | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Minimo | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Needy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | K’s Storm Ready | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Talk | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | J J Valentin | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fierce and Strong | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eff Thirty Five | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | St. John’s | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Won an Award | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uninvited Guest | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riccio | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Napoleon’s War | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Chief | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruddy Buddy | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wine Collector | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Imagination | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Our Liberty Belle | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Photo Finish | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blaze On | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Whisper | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Anonymously | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Seamstress | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sultry Sally H | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Brzina | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fore Harp | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bal a Kazoo | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maya Prince | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Great Idea | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swill | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Had to Have Him | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mattitude | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden G | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Petingas Twin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Byk | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenebris | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Witty | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bouncer | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windsor Gold | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Murray | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arden’sluckytobe | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Venomous Vixen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | River Tay (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Summer Flower | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Channel Loop | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Wellareyouhappynow | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Ghee for the Win | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Honorable Chill | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blonde Samaritan | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | The Amazing Mizzen | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Charisse | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | From Hello | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Ain’t No Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.