Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bisa | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Rose Rita | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookatmybuckle | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Campaign Promises | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bisa | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sevilla | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talksalot | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lylah Renee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Richiesgoldengirl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jackman | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Principe Carlo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Went West | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Payne | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G T Five Hundred | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Colonel | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Diamond Heist | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | President Z | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princip | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chun Money | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous M | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Du Monde | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Austin’s Map | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snook | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Getoutyourwallet | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halfway Tempted | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Bid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Evan On Earth | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gun Barrel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Soaring Bird | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gilmore | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiwanaku | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Bridges Road | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All West | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Business Model | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonstrike (GB) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Improbable Story | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nepal Up | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Enchant | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time Stone | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jitterbug | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Am the Sauce | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Thief | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mulima | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fashion Affirmed | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argentinidad | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Karson Kay | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Farfalle | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady of Power | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Indy Label | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jump Into the Fire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cactus Flower | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guana Cay | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wildcatjustice | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Town Sis | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin Royal | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chiquita Mosca | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Souvenir | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Inner Harbor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Talkin in Cursive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heavenville | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Boat | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smoken Wicked | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McDude | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firmus | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C K Wonder | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Otter Here | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Innova | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Extradition | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quantum Burst | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Everloving | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ensorcell | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jenkin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momentario | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Aliyah | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Other Like You | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Massarat | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lobby Rendezvous | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oscar Season | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unleash the Power | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half Dome (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Born Flashy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mercante | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Saint in the City | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real Men Violin | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swiss Slang | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Horeb | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bernin Tune | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Lead Foot | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stride | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Flying Houdini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Winston Wolf | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | B B Prince | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Karlwithanarl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bet On Sunshine S.) – Bet On Sunshine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champlin | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Gulfport | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champlin | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bango | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tejano Twist | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angkor | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Luck | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy American | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Is a Choice | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Hat Willie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Diagram | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger Division | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wisconsin Gal | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flintlock | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Asteria | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outrage | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dimensionality | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Better Have Cash | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anonima | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Tiempo | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flojo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Cherry Pie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.