Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Motor City | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Know How | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drewmania | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Larry’s Legend | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Blast | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghent | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Quality | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | She Badger | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That Is Awesome | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Porto Del Ace | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pinching Pennies | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cece Wave | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unified Love | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruled by Spirit | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saberfight | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Come What Mae | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lawless Times | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lexi’s Fury | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cupie Cutie | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C C Llam | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Thirteen | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shelbi’s Star | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Close | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ranology | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nanny’s Houdini | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Galerio | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Il Capitano | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Americain Joey | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ego | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Worlds | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Moment | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Rojo | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gottatakehimto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dried Pepper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Awe Shackle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perry County | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Derek’s Law | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spamalot | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Nate | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greatizlove | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Up the Pace | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Louisiana Boss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Map of Donegal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Does Not Compute | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cincy’s Anna | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tipsy Gal | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Xcaret | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crystal d’Oro | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Darlene | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Faded Memories | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paintbrush | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Family Creed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky’s Secret | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Snyder | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | H V Xtra Wild Heat | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Back Bayou | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Warrior | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full of Glory | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gotta Deal | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | R T’s Gem | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Olivia G | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Priority | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderrand | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cute Dinero Queen | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tincandance | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saved by Grace | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nodah | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cupcake Cowboy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itzcoatl | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velocidad | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rip Rules | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Due We Dare | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mississippi Co. | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daddy’s Code | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Candy Boy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toms Lucky Mo | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Distorted Math | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Safety | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bitsy’s Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.