Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Captivating Boy |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vlahos |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zeus’ War |
20.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Flag |
1.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Skinner |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bolt At Midnight |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Navy Man |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dothraki |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
McLaren Vale |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Senator Ken Maddy S.) – Senator Ken Maddy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stay and Scam |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sassy Nature |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Nails |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twirling Queen |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kissed by Fire |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Omnipontet (BRZ) |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shoshanah |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Golden State Juvenile Fillies S.) – Golden State Juvenile Fillies S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Thirsty Mama |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
We the Free |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thirsty Mama |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hot Girl Walk |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rizzleberry Rose |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
In the Air Tonight |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pavel Is Appealing |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tequilaandtherapy |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Renatus |
4.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grateful My Love |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S.) – Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Supa Speed |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Floodlites |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chasing Liberty |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
14 |
14 |
Artislas |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Kale’s Angel |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
15 |
15 |
Uncle Dude |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smash It |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cavallo Bay (GB) |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sabertooth |
4.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiz Happy |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scipio |
8.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mi Bago |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Test Score |
15.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
16 |
16 |
Snowdonia |
20.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
17 |
17 |
Acquitted |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Ivan the Great |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
18 |
18 |
Coco Cool |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Pali Kitten |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Golden State Juvenile S.) – Golden State Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Style Cat |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
I’m a Bad Boy |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shea Brennan |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
R Heisman |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speedy Wilson |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Got’m Cot’m |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Gypsy Cowboy |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Silverado Storm |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Call Me Sir |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Steak Fries |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Governor Sam |
|
0 |
0-1 |
10 |
10 |
Governor Sam |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jet Sweep Joe |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gate to Wire |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whistlejacket (IRE) |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Mojo (IRE) |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aesterius (IRE) |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magnum Force (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shareholder |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Arizona Blaze (GB) |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
Pali Kitten |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ecoro Sieg |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ides of March (IRE) |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Smash It |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Out On Bail |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Netjets Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies) – Netjets Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Vodka With a Twist |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Immersive |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nooni |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quickick |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Immersive |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vodka With a Twist |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Otomena Shacho |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Scottish Lassie |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
La Cara |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Snowyte |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
American Bikini (JPN) |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Non Compliant |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (John Deere Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf) – John Deere Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Abientot |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nitrogen |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thought Process |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Correto |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scythian |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
May Day Ready |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lake Victoria (IRE) |
1.60 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Totally Justified |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
Vixen |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Virgin Colada |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kilwin |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Heavens Gate (IRE) |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fiery Lucy (GB) |
30.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
14 |
14 |
Anshoda (IRE) |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Abientot |
30.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
16 |
16 |
Tigerish |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
17 |
17 |
Acquitted |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Supa Speed |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Ferocious |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Getaway Car |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jonathan’s Way |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Citizen Bull |
10.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gaming |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Getaway Car |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
East Avenue |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ferocious |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chancer McPatrick |
3.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shin Believe |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hill Road |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ecoro Azel |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Henri Matisse (IRE) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seagulls Eleven (IRE) |
15.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Aomori City (FR) |
10.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Satono Carnaval (JPN) |
20.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Waco Kid (IRE) |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dream On |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mentee |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iron Man Cal |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zulu Kingdom (IRE) |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Noble Confessor |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Al Qudra (IRE) |
4.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
New Century (GB) |
2.50 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Tenacious Leader |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Minaret Station |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Kale’s Angel |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Sabertooth |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.