Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dillinger | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forward Move | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tommy Two Socks | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificent Mile | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paxsational | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camm’ Duke | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trumptastic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Nolo Contesto | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Super Chief | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hatch | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle George | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Air Show | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Honorary Degree | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Bourbon’s Hope | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Bronx Bomber | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Disco Deano | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | High Heat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mybronxbaby | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Mybronxbaby | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darn That Song | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Class Cat | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capital Gal | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Della | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amy’s Light | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carol T | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Next On Stage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pallotta Sisters | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Settling Storm | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kobe’s Smile | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spooky Lady | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bonnie T | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dream Central | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Laoban | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mainstream Sellout | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wish List | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Banana Split | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bobby Jean | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Tam I Am | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bembridge Ledge | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Vespera | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | So Darn Pretty (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Liza | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bossy Pants | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Panache | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnightloveaffair | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Love Cervere | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Contract Law | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Vita | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Aerialist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Vehemente | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Pompous Prince | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mister J T | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Dot’s Dollar | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Poppy’s Pride | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Cold as Hell | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Pipes and Drums | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fiery Heart | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cees Get Degrees | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Charging Aero | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Talkin Pharoah | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Prince | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bring Me a Check | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secured Landing | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsallcomintogetha | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barrage | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Samburu (GB) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Rinca | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hunt Ball | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Atlantic Beach S.) – Atlantic Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Epitaph | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Swift | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warheart | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shoot the Nickel | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Bob | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dumb Money | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joey Muscles | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Rose | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Executive Order | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Prairie Dunes | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shakin the Belle | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guile | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bolt d’Plata | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forced Errors | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Baron | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Alacran | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Driver | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Ready to Rock | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nilruc | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mitole’s Diamond | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.