Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unswayed | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal King | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boom Boom Thunder | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muazarah | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dunedin Causeway | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Arc | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solo in Paris | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Janssen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senegal | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Berning Beauty | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neptune Beach | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charming Jim | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Burn Rubber | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Stand Disco | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Me Wise Magic | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Sweet Tooth | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Squints | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iridescent | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Tweed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Likebelivingnmagic | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ridgewood Runner | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Monopoly Man | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hagrid’s Flame | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shop Lifting | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Job | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bundchen | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Taco Lady | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fundamentally | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Victim | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Citational | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Tricks | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nilo’s Rose | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Teller to Win | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gaga’s Hamsome | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Someone | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take Me to Londyn | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Manicotti | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frankie Hiccups | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Have a Happy | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Central Casting | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cool Operator | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Because the Night | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrebato | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J J’s Joker | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heard On Thestreet | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lonely Ride | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Badlands Ruler | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Sera | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Steady Progress | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Be Like Clint | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | L’Antharis (FR) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | California Sober | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swore | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tide of the Sea | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Creation | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harry Hood | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Now and Later | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brees | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Late Call | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yamato | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yo Daddy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Capital Idea | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orie | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Swift Magic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rock Star Rebel | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Orie | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Friend Ofthe Devil | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blameitonthestones | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap It Easy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Umbria | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Therapy | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiztimonial | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | For the Luv of Tim | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Frame Up | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | John’s in Charge | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Im Pulsive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Vehemente | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Twohonestmischief | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Leon Blue | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.