Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss St. Claire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Court | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Hot Storm | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Candy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Raise the Alarm | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tdz Corrienda Star | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Golden Girl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m All Mixed Up | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naturalbornsender | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Imma Madi Tue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Moion | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Her Away | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Diamond Deal | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jilly’s West | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Pretty Sister | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | You Have No Idea | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talkabout | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Jane | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cabo Cowgirl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tensas Lucy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lexington River | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Witchology | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Bargain | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Guilty | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brandon’s Best | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twice as Sassi | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Astroneer | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leroy Lou | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blume | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zong’s Favor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Berndt Marshmallow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Life On the Nile | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joey’s Lightening | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ells | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Insignis | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gobot | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Play Master | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ghost Cowboy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rockall | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cabro Toro | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmie’s Halo | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Putthehammerdown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Classic Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Cheryl’s Song | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lassie Bee | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Dealority | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Jet | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Congratulera | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Gem | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aubree’s Halo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C. F. Tinny Deal | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Deal | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Donegal | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leading the Cause | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Reg | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Sweet Thang | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dustin the Diamond | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go Cats | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Gold Pieces | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Side | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Den’s Good Grace | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mud On My Boots | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Final Quest | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jumpin Judy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luyv | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Meg | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heated Argument | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Alyssa | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riptide Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Free Drop Maddy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | China | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Customerunhappy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kat’s Princess | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Cantaros | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Contender | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s the Sheriff | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Blink Twice | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace’s Vision | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vincent’s Gem | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Tee | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mo Tom | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Debbo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sassy Spry | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.