Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | It’s My World | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Classic | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight Back | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Will | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toppers Wager | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tom and Jazzy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dos Vicios | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Granada Flavor | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impossible Task | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardmoneymuchachos | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forbidden Kingdom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turn On The Jets (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irideo (ARG) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Reflection | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Legitimate | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Journalism | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Cruisein | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toughness | 0.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mellencamp | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jetovator | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | Whatmakessammyrun | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thirty Four Coupe | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Give Me the Lute | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Forgiving Spirit | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jetovator | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Great King (FR) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eddie’s Last | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Commander (FR) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hacking It Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Smokem Ez | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | This Name’s Taken | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yaani | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cipriani | 0.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Blessing | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gemadini | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Autumn Miss S.) – Autumn Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Medoro | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zona Verde (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sneaker | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Circle of Trust | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tahini | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sea Dancer | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Watchtower | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wine On Tap | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiaraqueen (GB) | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asean (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Esprit Enchante | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mixologist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roll On Big Joe | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Bragg | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oviatt Class | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manitowish | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moose Mitchell | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mbagnick (CHI) | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pilot Commander | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Lemon Sushi | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yo Time | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Known Idea | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lord Tripping | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Supernal | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Travelin’ Show | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Double Jab | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Touchdown Brown | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Afternoon Nap | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Chromeflash | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stay On the Fence | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chick’s Dig It | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Special Club | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Refocus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Final Edition (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Santarena | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Western Avenue | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Makes Money | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Way | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Rose | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Concord Bridge | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Running Spartan | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Sign Seven | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brave Blend | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mardy’s Fish | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.