Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Vino Toxica |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Queen in the Deck |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flash Wear |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Multiplication |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ez Tree Ates |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Carolina Smokeshow |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Parking Lot Pours |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
C. C. Foxii |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vino Toxica |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Split Success |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Book’em |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kentucky Smokeshow |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rosato |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Equal Success |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broadway Lights |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rocio |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Benevolence |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bisa |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Mascara |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Coalmoon |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Landing Craft |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reb |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frosty Beer |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cutlass King |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Moral |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brotha Keny |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Steelin Bases |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bourbonator |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Houligan |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Market Watch |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Flying Mohawk |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Date the Prince |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
High Limit |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sergeant Capps |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Swirling Eights |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dream Scheme |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
High Ceiling |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Pnutbutter Whiskey |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sand Cast |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
13 |
13 |
Deputy A. P. |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tequila n’ Salt |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dr. Niko |
10.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
15 |
15 |
War and Majesty |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Stonington |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Anegada |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Culture War |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
California Sunset |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Going Steady |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Girl Math |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Faith |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Liberty |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queen Jubilee |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
McKinzie’s Glory |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Liberation Day |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Golden Gamble |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bottomless Mimosa |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Murphy Girl |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
First Class Lady |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Spring Dancer |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Trading Secrets |
30.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Purple and Gold |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Banking Silver |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Note |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Northern Voyage |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Costa Amalfitana |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Loulou B |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Justtakethecannoli |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Basilea |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Everloving |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Pride’s Prince |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zat’s the One |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lil Muggs |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Got Game |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Confront |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Restless Renegade |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jac Fourteen |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Captain Cook |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Serendibite |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Calling On Heaven |
12.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dreaminblue |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
5 |
5 |
Captains Choice |
30.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
14 |
14 |
Kalahari Dreams |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Can’t Deny It |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Poppa Echo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Galantini |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Poema |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nile Valley |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lotus Petal |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
One Happy Island |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dreaming of Lilies |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bella Alessia |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Jeweled City |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fortunate |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Good Reason |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tavria |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wayzata |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Avery’s Dream |
10.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Frosted Kisses |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Princess Em Too |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Jewish Mother |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Are You a Spy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Rags To Riches S.) – Rags To Riches S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Sherbini |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Adeera |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Good Cheer |
1.20 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mechaya |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Claire’s Charm |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Orient |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Alyeska |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
My Lil Punky |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Street Sense S.) – Street Sense S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dapper Moon |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sovereignty |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sandman |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiztastic |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Forged Steel |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bracket Buster |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Comes a Time |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reach for the Rose |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby Boat |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Much |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Bisou |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Limited Edition |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Render Judgment |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
American Promise |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shogun |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Buzz Rocket |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hired Gun |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Street Mo |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Seattle Road |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bisou |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Last Chance Luis |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mogordy |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
Tremendously |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Abbi Fede |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.