Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sigiriya | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | April de Velp | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not a Lost Cause | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Holiday | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Rose | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tatoosonmysoul | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Gizmo | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War’s End Kiss | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | French Laundry (GB) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Call | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Lady Bee | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good as Gone | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tirupati | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vazhi | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enduring | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coffee Crisp | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Idyllic | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Voice From Above | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Charted Map | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conacher | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aim Don’t Miss | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mad Chatter | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calling Home | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three O Eight | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet On White | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diva’s Ghost | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Determined Fury | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canyouhearmerunnin | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He Shoots He Wins | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Rush | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Fully Loaded | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banker’s Hours | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Orphan Hallie | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancin’ Deputy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aim for the Sky | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Talbot Heirloom | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beautiful Crazy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Her Money | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nicki Is a Breeze | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exington | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Orient Beach | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spun Around | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pop Rox | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bright Sunshine | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’aurum | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justify’s Jewell | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Will Then | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Afleet Flatter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alta Calibre | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top of D Mountain | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Izzy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pat’s Holiday | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rhaenyra | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Serenading Kitten | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancin Mary Marie | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lemoncella Spritz | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faultfinder | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thread | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crystal Visions | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carlisle Bay | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pop Idol | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daisy Duke | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Saugerties | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Eternal Search S.) – Eternal Search S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Olivia Rose | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tito’s Calling | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Painter | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foolish Games | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taquanyah | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talk to Ya Later | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Sky | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frac Amour | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady in Red | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strega | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vucchella | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Della | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fortyfiveseventy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Destiny Ro | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Black | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pemberley | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Antenna | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Saccharine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Presence | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nantuckets Day | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Why Em Sea Ay | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whappen | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Day Dawning | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plaisir d’Amour | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rush to Glory | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McKenzie Road | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Gem | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lastmambo in Paris | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.