Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| We the Hobby | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Pavel’s Etoile | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abbey Theatre | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You Decide | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosa Parks | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We the Hobby | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freya | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guiltyofhavingfun | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expect Love | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Disko Tribute | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clampett | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil Be Me | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Pounce | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rivoli | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Orange Thunder | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Less Is More | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloudy Rose | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Om N Joy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going With Her | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hula Prancer | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Petite Treat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Palisades | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Chilly | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caught in the Dark | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Racer | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Beards Ghost | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Middleburg | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rostovsky | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dairago (FR) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spearfish | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Travail | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mysterious Husband | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imagineer | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ultra Power | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imagination | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arrowthegreat | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For All Mankind | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Admiral | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tarantino | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Twilight Derby) – Twilight Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cathal (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Hot | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Kaos | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atitlan | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rothschild | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Point | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wynstock | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jarama | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Big Cheeseola | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ricks Red Storm | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sippin Whiskey | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocasek | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Damazio | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curry | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devilnthebluegras | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Rain | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Ang N Ash | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovin’ On the Run | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irresistible Force | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Annie’s Joy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Special Flower | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shamrockin | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shin Jidai (GB) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Kanthara | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Blue Oasis | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keen to Go | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sbagliato | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donner Lake | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kimmer | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lone Scout | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flint Stroll | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | National Generaux (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | John Dunbar | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legitify (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.