Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All Class | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play Good Pay Good | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lite It Up Louie | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Edistrudis | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Calhouna | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gunesh | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frango Electrico | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Suit | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Princess Is Olivia | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Union Suit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Is Olivia | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outofnothingatall | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asian Matriarch | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Bell | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Chablis | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ribbonsinherhair | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie’s Love | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illuminatrice | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Tizntshelovely | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derry Girl | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | El Joury | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mambo Queen | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unmerited Favor | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love and Poetry | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Gal | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goddaughter | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Illuminatrice | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Precious Medley | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne On Ice | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chere Amia | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Poema | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dancetheniteaway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Humbled | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zen Dreams | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Best Performer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Windy Bay | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kiki Krazy | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bad Diva | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windy Walk | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calisue | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Savannamarie | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sing Scat | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honey Run | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Q Bond | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lady Mercedes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shiloh’s Mistress | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Hebrides | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Egyptian Candy | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Shape | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Public Assembly | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Centuria (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tonalite | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Choate | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Random Harvest | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Call Me Toni | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream On Stormy | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Why Waste Words | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heart Spin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Parish Lane | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Atmidnight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Off the Lam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bowman Mill S.) – Bowman Mill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tough Catch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Politicallycorrect | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Music | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Long Neck Paula | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Terrapin Station | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | White Sands | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mitty’s Griddy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kehoe Beach | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Beach Walkn | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Kehoe Beach | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neom Beach | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Emily Kathryn | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dazzlin’ Dictator | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belle of Rights | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strike When Ready | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Walkn | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maxisuperfly | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Way It’s Today (GB) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Work of Fiction | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spotty Showers | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marshside Mama | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hidden Class | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sanctify | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Astor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Hagyard Fayette S.) – Hagyard Fayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hit Show | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Campaign | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Aspen | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heroic Move | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Howling Time | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trademark | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Mas Bourbon | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bolzy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rattle N Roll | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tumbarumba | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bryan Station S.) – Bryan Station S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Demolisher | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Herchee | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trikari | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Prince | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brilliant Berti | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lagynos | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mansa Musa (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Call Protection | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Evade (FR) | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Depiction | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Protective | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Twirling Point | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Reminder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Goes the Clown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Chalk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desert Aire | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunderhawk | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Free Country | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Winter Creek | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Tiger | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burnham Square | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Frosty | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halter Boy | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Magic Factor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Frack Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.