Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Mischief | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shattuck | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Structured | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aaron | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Prize | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aztec Fire | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Life At Sea | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Keraunos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Magna Tap | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lear | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Low Euro Cat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maggie d’Cause | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canada Candy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamashavnahotflash | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | When Judy Calls | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Hands Full | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Niki | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mortify | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ride the Buck | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catale Hurrycane | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judge McBee | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Light the Code | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Brave Okie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Woods N Water | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Dawn | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mach Two | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Team Leader | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Commerce | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Not Wine | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kirby Kaye | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Raider | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barbacoa | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deposit Insurance | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Runner | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ru Mor Starter | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let Me Love You | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Grande | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breaking the Bank | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bronte Diem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mystical Code | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New West | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macy Red | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Fancy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salt Creek Gal | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Valentine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | I’m No Joke | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Take Cash | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fastened | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Tavern | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cadillac Cowboy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feel It | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beaudacious Colton | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holly Dolly | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lets Declare Peace | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tx Women for Arts | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peek Factor | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palacein | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Karat Cake | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of Salsa | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In Open Court | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Gold Lady | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get Ready Gal | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Makin Girl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Contrabbanda | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chainsaw City | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Lucky Again | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nautical Miss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Clever Trevor S.) – Clever Trevor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Three Echoes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dominant Spirit | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Medicine Dog | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jolly Samurai | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Creed | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trevaggio | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Gunner | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keeno | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Wife Is Right | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.