Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Major Mack | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | J J’s Ranger | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kistler | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rope a Dope | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord of Mischief | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shako | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nightnthequarter | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miyagi | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Steppin Silver | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | King of the Party | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Grand Kingdom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard as Life | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Executor | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Hard as Life | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Chapman’s Peak | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sound Cause | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Executor | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Clay | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mortal Lock | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Train and Trust | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Generative | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stonington | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master Sommelier | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ky Do Declare | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hard as Life | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malevaje | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Altiplano | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aerate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Power of Will | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pnutbutter Whiskey | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Positano Sunset | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bru Na Boinne | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peak Popularity | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catmint | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take a Stand | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Belle | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Our Shenanigan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tempers Fly | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Shot | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boutwell Time | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Pics Please | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rest of the World | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Endless Fashion | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Defiant Lass | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wiz the Bomb | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chantals Hope | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pure Breeze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Manage Xpectations | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shirley Ann | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sunna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Protective | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Tony | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tough Little Nut | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tifareeh | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Culprit | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Ginger Wizard (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vesture | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Player | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Native Shaman | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Telescopic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Copper Missile | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Iron | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mr. Peterkin | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stride | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Count Dracula | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Warning Signs | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ennis Town | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Acknowledge | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Voila Magic | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Problem Solved | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disclaimer | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Time to Collect | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Native Runner | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Money Man | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Danger | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Serketas | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steppe | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Can’t Deny It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Montana Cafe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Serendibite | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Faust | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Delight | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Judge Davis | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Boat’s a Rockin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Kingdom | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Beat Brian | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Front | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jean Valjean | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Last Chance | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mid Day Image | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Judge Davis | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spankster | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Let My People Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Myrtlewood S.) – Myrtlewood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Sands | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Andrea | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Sound | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | White Sands | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atomic City | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trust Fund Philly | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Magic | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glee | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Bria | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Praying | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barbarina | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Long Neck Paula | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Empirical Mischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bank Of America Valley View S.) – Bank Of America Valley View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Poolside With Slim (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Opera Mundi (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Simply in Front | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buttercream Babe | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nice as Pie | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uphill Dance | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Memorialize | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Les Reys (FR) | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pharoah’s Wine | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing N Dixie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kalispera (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sakura Blossom | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Whiskey Decision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Strike When Ready | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maxisuperfly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Kehoe Beach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Command | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Moringa | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Command | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hi’iaka | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sang | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orderly Transition (GB) | 50.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just a Coed | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Me Again | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Phantasmical | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Points Is Points | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Constituent | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Yume | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Taka | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | A Little Canela | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.